WI Fischer-Tropsch plants in Manchukuo?

If the Germans had helped the Japanese establish synthetic oil plants in Manchukuo (which had plenty of coal), might this had meant that Japanese could run their war in China without imported oil, thus eliminating the need to attack Pearl Harbor?
 
Japan didn't just want oil, you know. For example, they wanted the Malayan rubber as well.

Historically, the Japanese did have a synthetic fuels program. It was a cluster-fuck of major proportions which ended in failure and some people suiciding as atonement. German assistance should(AFAIK) solve the problems, as they were mostly due to incompetence and/or corruption.

BUT, would the Germans be able solve it by the time it was shown to be a failure? By then Barbarossa was already rolling(for close to one year; the crap hit the fan in mid-1942, IIRC), and there's no easy way to bring in the technical expertise needed.
 
I thought that the Japs wanted Malaya to deny its rubber to the Allies (once they were already at war with them), not because they were short of rubber themselves. Anyway, does Indochina not have any rubber?
 

Hnau

Banned
I ran a short timeline for this idea, but the fact is that even if all the variables go in the Japanese' favor, there is no way for them to realistically build enough synthetic oil plants or get enough coal to cover all their oil needs.

The best Japanese oil POD that I've found is one proposed by Hendryk. A Japanese officer discovers the Daqing oil field in northern Manchuria many years early.
 
If the Germans had helped the Japanese establish synthetic oil plants in Manchukuo (which had plenty of coal),
It would more likely have been in Northern Korea, as that is where the Industry was. Korea has lots of Coal.
 
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