WI: First Serbian Uprising succeeded

I'm not sure too much changes. The second uprising got the Serbs de facto something pretty close to independence in 1815-1817, after two years of Ottoman rule. I'm not up on Serbian politics of the era enough to understand all the nuances of the earlier uprising getting crushed would be to Serbia itself.
 
I'm not sure too much changes. The second uprising got the Serbs de facto something pretty close to independence in 1815-1817, after two years of Ottoman rule. I'm not up on Serbian politics of the era enough to understand all the nuances of the earlier uprising getting crushed would be to Serbia itself.
A significant part of Serbian history involved the rivalry between the Karađorđević and Obrenović families, who were the leaders of the First and Second uprising, respectively. They traded places as the monarchs of Serbia from 1817 to 1903. The First Uprising succeeding butterflies away the prominence of the Obrenović family, completely altering Serbian politics.
 
Serbian politics take a completely different turn - with no rival dynasty to fight against the Karadjordjevics, the political discourse in Serbia feature questions of foreign policy (Russophilia and Russo-skepticism) as well as the struggle for constitutionalism and, later, parliamentarism - as the dominant issue, not a side-note. The lack of dynastic infighting will also allow Serbia to focus more on expanding its territory, although this would greatly depend on the plans and desires of Russia and the other Great Powers.


On a more global level...it would somewhat strengthen Russia's bargaining position in the Balkans and leave the Ottoman Empire a lot more threatened, with the Russian Empire potentially controlling a network of friendly statelets from the mouth of the Danube to by the Adriatic coast and all. And a successful uprising would probably inspire further unrest by the Empire's other Christian subjects.
 
Serbian politics take a completely different turn - with no rival dynasty to fight against the Karadjordjevics, the political discourse in Serbia feature questions of foreign policy (Russophilia and Russo-skepticism) as well as the struggle for constitutionalism and, later, parliamentarism - as the dominant issue, not a side-note. The lack of dynastic infighting will also allow Serbia to focus more on expanding its territory, although this would greatly depend on the plans and desires of Russia and the other Great Powers.


On a more global level...it would somewhat strengthen Russia's bargaining position in the Balkans and leave the Ottoman Empire a lot more threatened, with the Russian Empire potentially controlling a network of friendly statelets from the mouth of the Danube to by the Adriatic coast and all. And a successful uprising would probably inspire further unrest by the Empire's other Christian subjects.

I'm not yet sure if the Romanians and Bulgarians were keen on accepting Russian help in giving the Ottomans the boot out of the Balkans. I mean, would Serbia be more focused on targeting Bosnia for expansion or targeting southwards towards Macedonia?
 
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