WI Different Russia Outcome

WI the Germans are more successful during Barbarossa, for whatever reason. They are able to interdict much of the Soviets' supply chains and severely damage or destroy many of their arms and morale. The Eastern Front is still overwhelmingly gruesome and the rest of WWII goes on as in OTL, but it takes the Soviets much longer to get their act together and start fighting westward.

At the end of the war, the Soviets, instead of being as far west as Germany, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia, have managed to fight their way into Europe with the front line in eastern Poland, western Ukraine, and much of Romania and Bulgaria. Thus, instead of the West's leaders feeling pushed into giving the Soviets control of much of Eastern Europe, the opposite is the case: the Russians are in a much weaker bargaining position.

What happens next? I can imagine Bulgaria, Ukraine, and Romania falling under Russian control much as they did IOTL. With the Russians only in control of eastern Poland, could we see a divided Poland, a la East and West Germany? Would the West care as much about a divided Warsaw as they did about Berlin? How does the Marshall Plan, etc., happen, especially with the USA straddled with the reconstruction costs of at least four more countries?

How does the rest of the Cold War progress? Assuming there is no Warsaw Pact (and if there was one it'd be much weaker), I think that the Soviets have little to no play in Europe. Would they refocus their attention elsewhere, to Asia, the Middle East, and Africa? Would the lack of an East-West stalemate in Europe lead to a bloodier Cold War?
 
I believe this is approximately 10001st discussion of that scenario :) IMHO Ukraine will remain part of the Soviet Union, although fate of Carpatho-Ukraine is up for debates (it still may fall into Soviet hands, taking into account amount of bad blood between Czech and West post-Munich). Romania and Bulgaria? I don't think so. Romanian ruling elite was quite happy at being backward French client regime in Eastern Europe and, although Bulgarians favoured alliance with Russia, who ever asked Bulgarians about their fate? Divided Poland? Quite possible. There were enough Poles around to form two nations, Eastern Poland can even get part of the lands taken from Poland OTL by Stalin to give to Ukraine and Belarus. Eastern Prussia will remain German ITTL (everybody tend to forget this corner of Europe in AH TLs), so Stalin could get his rump Eastern Germany, after all. He could repopulate it with some Volga Germans too, although this is not likely. However, Western nukes within arm's reach from Moscow will make it nervous, very nervous. Removal of American nukes from Germany and Poland could become part of Cuba deal, together with OTL pullback from Turkey.
 
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