WI Dewey murdered in 1936

I understand that a mobster was killed because his ‘colleagues’ thought he would arrange such a ‘hit’ and that it would damage their business.

Suppose the killing happened

How big of a public reaction would there be.

Would Hoover have been forced to change his priorities?

Who would Republicans have run in 44 and 48, would they have done better or worse?

Might a different Republican have beaten Truman in 48?
 
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I discussed this many years ago in soc.history.what-if:

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Supposedly one of the reasons Arthur Flegenheimer (better known as "Dutch
Schultz") was killed was that he was attempting to have the young prosecutor
Thomas E. Dewey murdered--something that the rest of the Mob thought was a
very bad idea, likely only to result in public outcry and a severe crackdown
on crime.

Anyway, suppose Schultz had succeeded (before himself getting hit, either for
the Dewey job or for other reasons) in killing Dewey. In that case, (a) Who
becomes the GOP candidate for governor of New York in 1938 (I assume whoever
it is will be defeated by Governor Herbert Lehman as Dewey himself was that
year) and 1942 (when Dewey succeeded)? (b) More important, who are the
likely Republican presidential candidates for 1944 and 1948?

Of course, (a) and (b) are not unrelated. In addition to all the OTL rivals
of Dewey for the nomination in 1944 and 1948, any Republican who succeeded in
getting himself elected governor of New York in 1942 and 1946--and there is
no reason to think that only Dewey would be capable of this, both of these
having been good years for the GOP--would instantly be mentioned as a
candidate for the GOP presidential nomination. Maybe Irving Ives (1896-1962)
who in OTL was a state legislator from 1930 until he was elected to the US
Senate in 1946. (Ives was re-elected in 1952; in 1954, upon Dewey's deciding
not to run for a fourth term as governor, Ives became the GOP candidate for
that office and lost narrowly to Averell Harriman. See
http://bioguide.congress.gov/scripts/biodisplay.pl?index=I000050 for a
biography.)

(Naturally, another consequence of Dewey's murder would be a tremendous
demand for a crackdown on organized crime--though how long such a crackdown
would last is another matter...)

https://groups.google.com/d/msg/soc.history.what-if/6jFGMH11RcY/k6UgsRAysIcJ
 
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