WI David Lange never promises a referendum on MMP?

What if NZ PM David Lange never inadvertently promised a referendum on MMP during an election debate? Would NZ be stuck with MMp without both major parties feeling the urge to make a popular election promise of a referendum on the electiral system? What would be the results of the 1993 election? What would be the effects of no MMP? A long National Party hegemony from 1990 to. 2002 or power being split every election or two(or three) between the two parties with NZ First and the Alliance dying in 1996? What alternative governments and policies would be the result? What if?
 
I don't remember events leading to the change but do remember the 1993 election and how incredibly annoyed every non-National voter was at the results, and the seeming injustice/unfairness of the FPP system allowing a party to form a majority government with only 1/3 of the popular vote, and how Alliance & NZ First voters got next to nothing.

More 1993's would have kept the debate alive in the public eye and we may have ended up with a change maybe ten or so years later. That sort of result tended to favour National, so I dare say it would have been a Labour initiative.
 
I don't remember events leading to the change but do remember the 1993 election and how incredibly annoyed every non-National voter was at the results, and the seeming injustice/unfairness of the FPP system allowing a party to form a majority government with only 1/3 of the popular vote, and how Alliance & NZ First voters got next to nothing.

More 1993's would have kept the debate alive in the public eye and we may have ended up with a change maybe ten or so years later. That sort of result tended to favour National, so I dare say it would have been a Labour initiative.

Perhaps but it's also possible MMP never quite manages to win TTL even if a majority of New Zealanders support it, it needed a whole variety of factors to win and ten years later the economy would probably be prosperous and the government more popular so the electorate might not be so eager to go for the devil they don't know. New Zealand overall is a quite conservative country, as in inertia to a lot of change, as we're in the flag referendum now IOTL.
 
There was also a pretty solid pro reform lobby at this point. Not that this guarantees success, but it will make it hard for the issue just to go away.
 
There was also a pretty solid pro reform lobby at this point. Not that this guarantees success, but it will make it hard for the issue just to go away.

True, but what I'm thinking here is that both parties never get the idea to promise a referendum to the electorate and the issue is more one of those back-burner issues, like electoral reform in most FPP countries, that flares up every once in a while but can never get real momentum.

So, what do you think the alternate governments will be? do you think National will face a hung parliament if more voter anger is focused onto them and the election itself receives more attention, or will they still scrape by with a majority?
 
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