Like two other threads I've posted on the subject (https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...rld-war-1-french-and-germanic-changes.407740/, https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...d-ottoman-empire-switch-places-in-wwi.409801/), this deals with unlikely speculation on the changing of some countries' roles, but is much more likely to veer into ASB territory.
Here's the set-up: The *Central Powers are France, Italy, and Russia. Within the alliance, France fills the "role" of Austria-Hungary, Italy fills the role of Germany, and Russia of the Ottoman Empire. Britain fills the "role" of Bulgaria.
The *Entente/Allies are Germany, Spain, and the Ottoman Empire. Within the alliance, Germany fills the role of France, Spain fills the role of Russia, and the Ottomans of the UK.
Asides from that, Austria-Hungary stays out of the war for whatever reason and roughly fills the role of the USA. Bulgaria takes the role of Italy, in that the war starts with it allied with the Central Powers. The United States keeps out of the war and would fill the "role" of Spain in that it remains isolationist but is considered one of the "most important neutral countries."
Keep in mind that the countries don't swap their systems of government or cultures or anything. The countries stay exactly the same as true history, asides from the alliance system. Their "personalities" will not be changed with them. No other country is altered, asides from the most obvious changes based on the new alliance systems.
So, please tell me what you think on the following questions:
What would be the most likely POD to spark this situation? (This is not really as pressing a question as the others.)
With A-H being isolationist, what would be the most likely casus belli for this *World War 1/Great War, assuming that the Black Hand didn't aggravate the empire as in OTL?
Would Bulgaria stay with France, Italy, and Russia like a good little boy/girl (I don't know what gender Bulgaria identifies as), or defect to Germany, Spain, and the Ottomans?
If Austria-Hungary did join in, what would be the most likely reason, when would they join in, and on whose side?
Who would most likely win the war, and when?
What would be the aftereffects of this war?
If this turns out to be ASB with no reasonable POD and you're a moderator, would you mind transplanting this thread to the ASB section?
Thank you.
Here's the set-up: The *Central Powers are France, Italy, and Russia. Within the alliance, France fills the "role" of Austria-Hungary, Italy fills the role of Germany, and Russia of the Ottoman Empire. Britain fills the "role" of Bulgaria.
The *Entente/Allies are Germany, Spain, and the Ottoman Empire. Within the alliance, Germany fills the role of France, Spain fills the role of Russia, and the Ottomans of the UK.
Asides from that, Austria-Hungary stays out of the war for whatever reason and roughly fills the role of the USA. Bulgaria takes the role of Italy, in that the war starts with it allied with the Central Powers. The United States keeps out of the war and would fill the "role" of Spain in that it remains isolationist but is considered one of the "most important neutral countries."
Keep in mind that the countries don't swap their systems of government or cultures or anything. The countries stay exactly the same as true history, asides from the alliance system. Their "personalities" will not be changed with them. No other country is altered, asides from the most obvious changes based on the new alliance systems.
So, please tell me what you think on the following questions:
What would be the most likely POD to spark this situation? (This is not really as pressing a question as the others.)
With A-H being isolationist, what would be the most likely casus belli for this *World War 1/Great War, assuming that the Black Hand didn't aggravate the empire as in OTL?
Would Bulgaria stay with France, Italy, and Russia like a good little boy/girl (I don't know what gender Bulgaria identifies as), or defect to Germany, Spain, and the Ottomans?
If Austria-Hungary did join in, what would be the most likely reason, when would they join in, and on whose side?
Who would most likely win the war, and when?
What would be the aftereffects of this war?
If this turns out to be ASB with no reasonable POD and you're a moderator, would you mind transplanting this thread to the ASB section?
Thank you.