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What if the 1937 invasion fared even better for the Japanese and China sued for peace. A new Chinese regime pledge support for the East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere and forms an alliance against Communism.
It would be reminiscent of Vichy France IOTL with a collaboration government confronting a homegrown resistance. How does WWII unfold? Instead of a Burma theater, would the war spread to India? Japanese invasion of Russia with Chinese levies?