Would China in better shape economically and socially if two-child policy was the option instead of one-child? Would they reached 1.7 billion by now?
Personally I'd like China to implement a one-boy-as-many-girls-as-you-like policy. Could become a major export industry![]()
Personally I'd like China to implement a one-boy-as-many-girls-as-you-like policy. Could become a major export industry![]()
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Personally I'd like China to implement a one-boy-as-many-girls-as-you-like policy. Could become a major export industry![]()
Would China in better shape economically and socially if two-child policy was the option instead of one-child? Would they reached 1.7 billion by now?
No. There would be 400 million extra mouths to feed with millions more unemployed. Economic growth of 10-12 % pa has been unprecedanted. It has brought jobs and money but is wrecking the environment. An extra 400 million people would be armageddon.
That was why the Chinese government opted for the one child policy. India should have tried the same. They will suffer terribly in the future I think.
India faces much the same problem today; for the majority of the population, a rise in incomes is eaten almost immediately by more children. It is finally starting to change there, as well, but much later than in the PRC.
That may have more to do with having a protectionist economic policy until recently than birth rates.
Chinese population growth is now controlled and needs to scrap the one-child policy and shift to two-child policy or even let the parents to bear as many child as they can so that to avoid shortage of labor force and avoid burden on the underdeveloped Social Security. One-child policy is hindering the consumption to grow over investments in China. One-child policy is slowing the GDP growth in a long-run. China may be surpassed by India in 2084 if one-child policy insists.
Actually, India's move not to have a one-child policy is better in a long-run. It avoids labor shortage that China is now starting to experience because of inflexibility and destructibility of the one-child policy. For China to grow at 8% for the next 50 to 100 years, scrap the one-child policy NOW!