WI: Charles X fights for his Throne?

The July Revolution, though not quite the comedy of errors of Louis XIV's slow lose of all legitimacy and authority that lead to the chaos of a Revolutionary France more or less created and upheld (for the first few years at least) the sentiments of Paris, was still in many ways an unlikely and almost unexpected coup created on the fly by a assembly of liberal elites. Looking from the outside, it can be hard to beleive how easily a few National Guardsmen, a mob of townsfolk, and 400 peers managed to get the Monarchy to abdicate in the span of three days and quickly establish order under a man who dident even plan to be King of was even in on the effort. Of course, much of this can be chalked up to just how little resistance Charles actually put up before surrendering: even when he had regular army troops on the way to help relieve the Paris garrison.

So, given it was clearly in his capacity (and in alignment with his Absolutist leanings), what if Charles X, instead of abdicating once the rebels had gained the initial edge in the capital in the Three Glorious Days, followed Polignac's advice to resist and either staged a fighting escape from the city, or sent out offical orders to the Guard to fight and organize a defense of his positions while condeming the rebelling deputies as traitors who needed to be disposed and killed? A few starting questions...

  • Would the Duc'de Orlean even accept any offer by the Revolutionaries to be their head in such a circumstance? I doubt it, but if they can't find a suitable dynasty member what do the rebels do in terms of their demands? Like the post Proclaimation of Rebellion Americans, they're kind of stuck with something that disposes of Charles and his Ministers.
  • Can they get other parts of the country to raise a similar street rebellion? From what I've read, there were many sympathizers (of at least firm opposition to the Monarchal overreach of the Ordinances) in the other French cities who resisted attempts to spread the Royal orders. Would it be enough to trigger them into perceiving their own liberties at stake and Charles' tyranny too unacceptable to produce a broader front for regeime change?
  • Can the Parisians even hold out against the Royalist forces? If so, for how long? Certainly, urban warfare in 1830 is a nightmare, especially with the narrow streets of Paris, but there's only so much food and ammunition.
  • How does this affect the French position in Algiers? The invasion has just barely taken control of the capital and it's future status is still in limbo. If the Revolution bleeds on longer and spreads further from Paris, those troops occupying Algiers and Oran are going to start looking aweful tempting to pull back. Or do they even declare loyalty to the Crown?
 
The issue is that fact Charles X learned nothing from the Revolution and thus was totally unsuited to being king. He tired to rule as if it never happened, trying to turn the clock back. (Him and his whole side of the family was very reactionary to Hades and back again). Heck, the Bourbons should been throw out of France sooner if not for the the Duc of Berry assassination causing a wave of sympathy for them. (And they failed to do anything with that last hurrah of mass support from the public which was major, major mistake for them.)

Charles X can keep his throne, but it will never be stable from now to when he died. (While dealing with the same serious economic and social convulsions as ealry 1830s OTL France did). I can see when he does died, the Bourbons are cast out of France. After that, you have a coalition of moderates and conservatives looking for a compromise candidate if say Louis Philippe is not around, or something like that. Sadly too early for a Bonapartist revival.
 
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The issue is that fact Charles X learned nothing from the Revolution and thus was totally unsuited to being king. He tired to rule as if it never happened, turning to turn the clock back. (Him and his whole side of the family was very reactionary to Hades and back again). Heck, the Bourbons should been throw out of France sooner if not for the the Duc of Berry assassination causing a wave of sympathy for them. (And they failed to do anything with that last hurrah of mass support from the public which was major, major mistake for them.)

Charles X can keep his throne, but it will never be stable from now to when he died. (While dealing with the same serious economic and social convulsions as ealry 1830s OTL France did). I can see when he does died, the Bourbons are cast out of France. After that, you have a coalition of moderates and conservatives looking for a compromise candidate if say Louis Philippe is not around, or something like that. Sadly too early for a Bonapartist revival.

I'm not contesting that: indeed, it was Charles X's unwavering support of his Ultraroyalist sycophants and refusual to acknowledge the facts on the ground as to the practical limits of Royal authority that lead to the final blowup his relationship with the Deputies, which in an of itself was agrivated by those exact efforts to "role back the clock" and shore up the landed elite and clergy (The Emigre's billion, the inheritence law chanages to maintain large estates, ect.) He still has legitimacy though, and thus the default loyalty of the state insitutions and politically undergengaged as well as those who might be frightened by the spectre of revolution. The bigger impact this fight would have though is you replace what was essentially a peaceful "winding down" of Royal authority and right-wing hegemony over French politics from the Bourbons to the "middle of the road" July Monarchy, to the left-of-center strong executive of the 2nd Empire, to finally reaching legislative supremacy under the 3rd Republic, with a more volitile and bloody situation. Even ignoring the immediate impacts a French Civil War (however short or long it might be) on the politics of Europe, this would certainly have the potential to produce a deeper rift between the "Two Frances" of the long 19th century culture wars and a stronger right in general.
 
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