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From the research I did, there are two points of divergences in which this can plausibly happen.

In 1911, while serving as a artillery officer in Shanghai, Chang Kai-shek's friend, mentor and leader of the Chinese Revolutionary Party (the precursor of the Kuomintang), Chen Qimei, got into a dispute with Tao Chen-chang, a opponent of Sun Yat Sen and Chen. To avoid escalating the dispute, Tao hid in a hospital. but it is assumed that Tao was killed in his hospital bed by Chiang himself. In a alternate timeline, Tao, instead of hiding, decides to hire assassins and they either kill both Chen Qimei and Chiang-shek, or they only kill Chiang to send a message to Chen.

Alternatively in 1916, Yuan Shikai's agents not only kill Chen Qimei, but they also kill Chang Kai-shek too.

Depending on when this assassination takes place, how does this impact China, the KMT and the world at large? Who could succeed Chen as leader of the KMT? Someone like Wang Jingwei?
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