WI Canada got a minority government in 2011

What if the Canadian Conservatives under Harper failed to win a majority in 2011? If the Orange Crush needs to be stopped to achieve this, fine, but preferably the NDP should still be opposition. Something like this:

Conservative: 151
NDP: 128
Liberal:25
BQ:2
Green:1

Would a new government be formed, perhaps a coalition, or would he 2006-2008 term and 2008-2011 term just repeat itself with a Conservative minority government? What would be the effects? What if?
 
Hmm, tricky. I'm going to take a guess and say Harper is gone within a year or so, maybe two at the most. Tories either go with Prentice, Kenney, possibly MacKay. If everything still goes like OTL, there's a better chance that Trudeaumania 2.0 will last long enough to get Trudeau II into 24 Sussex, but it really depends on who the Tories pick to replace Harper if he does step down.
 
Hmm, tricky. I'm going to take a guess and say Harper is gone within a year or so, maybe two at the most. Tories either go with Prentice, Kenney, possibly MacKay. If everything still goes like OTL, there's a better chance that Trudeaumania 2.0 will last long enough to get Trudeau II into 24 Sussex, but it really depends on who the Tories pick to replace Harper if he does step down.

I doubt the Liberals could revive themselves after the disaster of Ignatieff.

But I agree that Harper is dead and would not last as the the leaderif the Conservatives.

I think the Liberals and NDP would form a coalition government.
 
Could the Conservatives have done worse in 2011, but the NDP still got its OTL result, and then possibly an NDP minority government or coalition is formed, or maybe Harper continues on?
 
I doubt the Liberals could revive themselves after the disaster of Ignatieff.

But I agree that Harper is dead and would not last as the the leaderif the Conservatives.

I think the Liberals and NDP would form a coalition government.

They've pretty much revived themselves IRL though, and given the scope of the Liberal disaster, 25 seats in this case really wouldn't be much different from 34.
 
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