WI - Bush won in 1992?

If Bush is re-elected President then neither George or Jeb will be running for governor during his second term, IIRC George floated the idea earlier but was persuaded to drop it as they didn't want to give the appearance of using his father's position. That means the first gubernatorial elections that they can run in will be the 1998 Texas and Florida ones.

In our timeline George won on his first attempt in 1994 whilst Jeb lost – it often being blamed on his famous 'Probably nothing' statement. Does the extra age and experience allow Jeb to sidestep making a mistake like that? Ignoring the butterflies from Bush's re-election for a moment supposing that George and Jeb were both elected governor of Texas and Florida respectively at pretty much the same time, assuming that a Democrat succeeded Bush and served two terms which of the brothers does this put in the lead to run for President in 2004?

George W, simply because he is older.
 

SsgtC

Banned
If Bush is re-elected President then neither George or Jeb will be running for governor during his second term, IIRC George floated the idea earlier but was persuaded to drop it as they didn't want to give the appearance of using his father's position. That means the first gubernatorial elections that they can run in will be the 1998 Texas and Florida ones.

In our timeline George won on his first attempt in 1994 whilst Jeb lost – it often being blamed on his famous 'Probably nothing' statement. Does the extra age and experience allow Jeb to sidestep making a mistake like that? Ignoring the butterflies from Bush's re-election for a moment supposing that George and Jeb were both elected governor of Texas and Florida respectively at pretty much the same time, assuming that a Democrat succeeded Bush and served two terms which of the brothers does this put in the lead to run for President in 2004?
Jeb. He was supposed to be the Heir to GHWB, but losing the election in Florida screwed up the plan and George ran instead. It's also possible that George Jr decides not to run in 98 and remains as Owner of the Texas Rangers. I could see him getting more involved with the team and possibly succeeding Selig as MLB Commissioner when Bud retires
 
Dubya had wanted to run in 1990, but his family pressured him not to. In no small part due to the fact that they didn't want him to be seen as benefitting from being the son of the President. Had Senior won in 1992, then I expect that both Dubya and Jeb wait until after their father leaves office as in OTL.

So Bush, Jr., wanted to run in 1990 ? I had no idea about that one. Glad the family talked him out of it.
 
Justices White and Blackmun both retired during Clinton's first term. They're an interesting case. White was a Democrat, but was more conservative, while Blackmun was Republican and one of the most liberal Justices on the Court. I think White probably still retires and Bush gets a nominee in 93. Blackmun may try and hang on until a more Liberal President is elected, but I'm not sure if he could. He passed away only 4.5 years after retiring in 1994. So he may still end up retiring. Health permitting though, I think he tries to stay on the Bench until at least 97 when a Democrat is almost guaranteed to be elected.

Blackmun's health was pretty excellent when he retired, his death was because of a very sudden decline. He should certainly be able to hang on to at least 1996-7. Given his level of investment in Roe v Wade, he'd only retire in a box under a Republican president. White may still retire but he may not. Though he was anti-Roe v Wade, in other respects he was very Un-Republican, and it looks like his OTL retirement was part motivated by the WH change. He also wasn't particularly old by recent standards when he retired. I think it's more likely than not that Bush gets no further appointments.
 
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