What if Bush Sr. had won a second term in 1992? How would his second term have gone?
No Republican Revolution, though the GOP will take Congress by 2002 IMO. None of the OTL Clinton agenda is enacted, and most likely you have Gore v. Bradley and Alexander v. Kemp in the '96 primaries. In the general, I'd say Gore v. Alexander, Gore wins.
Why is this in chat?
How does he handle the economy? Does it get better or worse?
No Breyer or Ginsburg on the Supreme Court. I forget the Senate makeup at the time, but could Bush I get conservatives on the Court?
The President has very little control over the economy as it is, plus the fact that both Clinton and Bush would have had Greenspan during the time period in question. Both would sign NAFTA into law, both would trim spending, and both would pursue a middle of the road agenda on stimulus matters. So you have a pretty similar four years.
Pretty much, except no push for health care reform or gays in the military. Bush and Clinton were both pragmatists (and centrists) who operated from the mindset that what was best for the country trumped what was best for their interest groups. That's why Bush did compromise with Congress on taxes, even though he promised not to in 1988.
If you want a really different 1990s, than get a Cuomo or Perot presidency.