So, say in 1976 Reagan beats out Ford for the Republican nomination (maybe winning the NH primary and damaging Ford's campaign right off the bat, giving himself a delegate lead). He loses to Carter in the general election, perhaps by a wider margin than Ford, and Carter's term goes about the same as in OTL. In 1980, Reagan perhaps throws his hat into the ring again, but faces opposition in the party after losing the previous election. Republicans choose Bush, who defeats Carter, though not as handily as Reagan did. Bush takes his opponent's place in the White House. What would have become of the hostage crisis in Iran? Of Soviet relations? Of economic policy?
Another thing to consider: John Hinckley, Jr. could still make an attempt on the President's life. What if Bush was assassinated months into his term, giving his running mate a full term (Dole? Connally?). What effect would a failed attempt have on his presidency?
Another thing to consider: John Hinckley, Jr. could still make an attempt on the President's life. What if Bush was assassinated months into his term, giving his running mate a full term (Dole? Connally?). What effect would a failed attempt have on his presidency?