JJohnson
Banned
Let's say the 1806 Rio de la Plata is successful, and the British are able to capture a large portion of South America, say everything south of the Salado river at Buenos Aires and Pilcomayo, and west to the Pacific, since it was sparsely populated at the time, and it becomes a settler colony. What do you see this developing into? How big would it become theoretically as a fourth colony (after Canada, Australia/New Zealand, and South Africa)? What effects does it have on South America? What kind of country (ethnically, linguistically, culturally, etc.) do you see this evolving into?
I have three cases for this:
Case A: This is an additional colony, along with Canada, Australia/NZ, and South Africa for settlers.
Case B: This is a colony in place of Canada, lost in the American Revolution, but Rupert's Land and Newfoundland remain British.
Case C: This is a colony in place of Canada, and Rupert's Land is sold to the US in the late 19th/early 20th century
From just a quick run of numbers of current population:
Canada: 33.4 million
AU: 22.7 million
NZ: 4.4 million
SA: 4.2 million (European)
As a guess:
Case A: OTL it got 6.2 million European settlers already, so I'd guess roughly that plus perhaps another 5 million over 2 centuries from Britain and Ireland, with natural birth rates, would give roughly 15-18 million.
Case B: 6.2 plus perhaps 5-8 million not choosing to live in Rupert's Land due to not being very good land, hostile neighbor, etc. plus those who would've gone to Canada but didn't, maybe another 7 million? 18-21 million up to perhaps 27-29 million with birth rates perhaps?
Case C: 6.2, 8 million from Rupert's Land area, around 10-12 million additional for redirected immigration, giving around 24.2 to 26 million, maybe as high as 31 million-34 million as OTL Canada had? Would it be even higher with the higher amount of arable land and more favorable climate?
I have three cases for this:
Case A: This is an additional colony, along with Canada, Australia/NZ, and South Africa for settlers.
Case B: This is a colony in place of Canada, lost in the American Revolution, but Rupert's Land and Newfoundland remain British.
Case C: This is a colony in place of Canada, and Rupert's Land is sold to the US in the late 19th/early 20th century
From just a quick run of numbers of current population:
Canada: 33.4 million
AU: 22.7 million
NZ: 4.4 million
SA: 4.2 million (European)
As a guess:
Case A: OTL it got 6.2 million European settlers already, so I'd guess roughly that plus perhaps another 5 million over 2 centuries from Britain and Ireland, with natural birth rates, would give roughly 15-18 million.
Case B: 6.2 plus perhaps 5-8 million not choosing to live in Rupert's Land due to not being very good land, hostile neighbor, etc. plus those who would've gone to Canada but didn't, maybe another 7 million? 18-21 million up to perhaps 27-29 million with birth rates perhaps?
Case C: 6.2, 8 million from Rupert's Land area, around 10-12 million additional for redirected immigration, giving around 24.2 to 26 million, maybe as high as 31 million-34 million as OTL Canada had? Would it be even higher with the higher amount of arable land and more favorable climate?