Wi: Bob Conley defeats Lindsey Graham 2008

The filibuster proof majority lasts longer than Scott Brown's victory. The Dream Act passes in Spring 2010. That probably creates more demand for immigration reform. There are enough House Republicans to sign the discharge petition and approve immigration reform in 2013. Hispanic turnout is greater in 2014. Mark Udall wins.
 
There might be less chances of aid for the rebels in Syria (thus less chance of a rise in IS) and Ukraine. Graham may get back in when DeMint resigns, but if Graham runs against Scott, he'd likely lose.
 
Enough of the 60 Democrats would have voted for it. It would pass.

Would they all vote to end a filibuster? ACA seemed to take up most of the scheduling and energy of Congress, so a spring vote might be hard. On the one hand, Dodd-Frank passed then, but a climate change bill died. And I'd say the Dream Act would be controversial. Not sure how those up for re-election would vote.
 
How would Graham lose? The election results do not suggest a narrow contest. Indeed the only Republican Senate victory that seems even remotely narrow is Mitch McConnell's victory in Kentucky. Graham won by over ten percent.

Is there a reason why Graham was more vulnerable than the returns would suggest?

As an aside-McConnell somehow losing in 2008 would have had a far more significant impact on the Obama administration than Lindsey Graham facing defeat in South Carolina. Granted that race wasn't close either-but it was closer in Kentucky than South Carolina.
 
How would Graham lose? The election results do not suggest a narrow contest. Indeed the only Republican Senate victory that seems even remotely narrow is Mitch McConnell's victory in Kentucky. Graham won by over ten percent.

Is there a reason why Graham was more vulnerable than the returns would suggest?

As an aside-McConnell somehow losing in 2008 would have had a far more significant impact on the Obama administration than Lindsey Graham facing defeat in South Carolina. Granted that race wasn't close either-but it was closer in Kentucky than South Carolina.

Maybe if Lindsey Graham had gotten busted for criminal activities he might have lost.
 
Only close-ish race besides the previously mentioned Kentucky was Georgia, not South Carolina. Graham would have to have made an incredible blunder to have lost.
 
How would Graham lose? The election results do not suggest a narrow contest. Indeed the only Republican Senate victory that seems even remotely narrow is Mitch McConnell's victory in Kentucky. Graham won by over ten percent.

Is there a reason why Graham was more vulnerable than the returns would suggest?

As an aside-McConnell somehow losing in 2008 would have had a far more significant impact on the Obama administration than Lindsey Graham facing defeat in South Carolina. Granted that race wasn't close either-but it was closer in Kentucky than South Carolina.

Well, there was a significant series of decisions Graham backed in 2002 on...
 
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