WI Blucher killed before the Battle of Waterloo?

[chris N]

I could say that you are taking the more pesimistic position. Based upon History I would say that my chances of being right are nearly 50-50 based upon the advantages to Austrian.

 

[Susano]

I could say that you are taking the more pesimistic position. Based upon History I would say that my chances of being right are nearly 50-50 based upon the advantages to Austrian.

Expecting napoleon to lose is something Id call optimistic, myself

 

[chris N]

This all requires Napoleon to win the battles in the lowlands and then to give the allies another thrashing. If he won the first group of battles the morale of the French army would be quite high and the French army of 1815 was a very motiviated one. Still it is a what if position and I am supposing that the Austrians could be motivated that it was in their self interest to leave the coliation and perhaps even support France. This would have left the Czar to withdraw from Europe and even the Prussian might have retired. Everyone was becoming war weary .

 

[DAv]

This all requires Napoleon to win the battles in the lowlands and then to give the allies another thrashing. If he won the first group of battles the morale of the French army would be quite high and the French army of 1815 was a very motiviated one. Still it is a what if position and I am supposing that the Austrians could be motivated that it was in their self interest to leave the coliation and perhaps even support France. This would have left the Czar to withdraw from Europe and even the Prussian might have retired. Everyone was becoming war weary .

Whic was exactly the reason why they wanted rid of Napoleon, nobody trusted him to stick to his word and keep to the peace set out. They were determined to be rid of him once and for all.