What if / Better Space Shuttle
E of pi and Truth is life, in their excellent timeline observed the possibilities of a continuing Apollo program, which, as it seems the whole board to agree, would have been probably one of the best possible alternative courses of space policy.
Nevertheless, I ask the question whether even after the decision for the Space Shuttle program, an alternative course would have been possible, and would it have avoided at least some of the disadvantages of the Space Shuttle.
Certainly, if you look for a reusable program a pure "crew taxi" would have been the most appropriate solution. Certainly the targeted launch rates that were brought in retrospectively to justify the program, unrealistic from the outset. The attempt to create an "all-purpose animal" in order to complete even all commercial launches was doomed to failure from the outset. The requirements of the Air Force, in calling for a massive cross range finally crippled the program. The immense financial burden of a technically immature experimental program with low launch rate and inherent safety problems have been discussed again and again. It seems, no one would choose the Space Shuttle again by hindsight
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Nevertheless, I would like in particular to take advantage of the space shuttle. The emphasis will be placed on the concept of a true Space Transportation System. However, the requirements of the space shuttle remain the same as in reality. I These requirements are:
- Maximize reusability
- High launch rate as the sole carrier for commercial use
- Ability to offer a large crew up to 6 people and habitat for these
- Large cross range for the Air Force, that is very big wings
- High load capacity and very large payload space for military payloads (about 25 tons)
- Ability to carry out construction work in space
---
During this, the restrictions are the same as in OTL. In particular, there is no more money and the military requirements stay in. This results in:
Basically the same vehicle, no fundamentally different concepts. No SSTO, no true reusability, no winged first stage. I tried to make my proposal without too much hindsight, so there will be no Liquid Fuel Boosters, no ejectable crew compartment (preventing Challenger type accident) , no better TPS (lower maintenance cost), no internal titanium structure, no internal isolation of the external tank or upper mount of the orbiter (preventing Columbia type accident). The shuttle proposal is build in the same mindset as OTL, with all its errors.
In particular, the partial reusability remains, the main tank is thrown away. Same goes for the Solid Rocket Boosters, which were chosen for financial and industrial policy reasons. The TPS stays unfortunately the same, which is bad for maintenance, cost and the probability of a Columbia type disaster.My proposal includes the well-known principle shuttle concept. An orbiter with 3 SSME, a non-reusable tank with side-mounted Solid Rocket Boosters.
Let us see how far we can get with these conditions. The goals are:
- Significantly increased security
- Increased launch rate
- Increased flexibility and integration into an overall concept
- Increased ability to remain in orbit.
---
Now for the differences:
- The orbiter has a slightly increased length but with a shorter nose cone. There is no second deck below the cockpit. In the cockpit, there are only two pilots. These sit on ejection seats, or ejection capsules, which are derived from the B70 program and provide the opportunity to eject at high speeds and up to medium altitudes. This would give the opportunity to save the crew until the Solid Boosters are separated. After that, there would be the distant possibility of the RTLS maneuver or bail out at lower altitude. Behind the cockpit there is a tiny living space with kitchen, toilet and airlock. Directly and then follows the cargo space. The cargo doors edge is located over the airlock right behind the cockpit.
- Optional in cargo space behind the cockpit, a larger cabin module can be installed, which provides habitat for up to four more persons. This applies especially to long-term missions. The four people are sitting on ejection capsules, the cargo doors can be blasted. Even when the larger cabin module is used, there is sufficient space for more payload, such as the European Spacelab or other payload.
- In the hold, it is possible to install a solar panel providing electric energy during longer stays. Also, a manipulator system can be installed, which is served by a control panel at the air lock.
- Optionally any shuttle can fly unmanned. Here at the outset at least two orbiters built without cockpit and life support system that execute the commercial launches. By this, cost would be much reduced for a higher launch rate of up to 24 a year (which is still very much away from the predicted 55 launches a year rate NASA ridiculously envisioned) and higher production rate of components. Also the more risky flights with a Centaur Liquid Fuel Upper Stage for heavy planetary missions would fly unmanned. The unmanned orbiters have an increased payload of at least 35 tons. Later on, decreased performance SSME (commercial) with lower engine pressure could be installed for lower launch and maintenance cost at commercial flights, when less payload mass is needed.
---
With my proposal, I hope to get a better shuttle. The Air Force still gets the possibility for their once around missions, as well as their cross-range. As well as the commercial launches are carried out with the shuttle. These increase the start rate and number of satellites each carry with them. Here at the unmanned missions a part of the high cost is avoided.
The Space Shuttle has a higher security because of the ejection seats. Thus at least a Challenger disaster would have been survivable. Furthermore, it is hoped that the other errors provided by the mismanagement would have occurred in an unmanned mission. Same goes for a Columbia type disaster.
The Space Transportation System becomes just that. A flexible system. It allows for short missions with two pilots. It enables long stays or a large crew. It allows unmanned commercial flying large payload and at least some increased launch rate and at least slightly lower costs. IMHO, even also in TTL most payloads would be launched on EELV-type launcher systems, this Space Shuttle could be still alive and happy with a Shuttle derived HLV for Constellation equivalent on the way.
---
Notes:
The Shuttle of TTL is going to run in much of the same issues it ran into OTL. Also my Shuttle too will never achieve the planned launch rates or become cost effective in any way.
So my TL is far away from the best of all worlds (if I wanted that, I would go the way of eyes turned skywards, except a little Shuttle fanboyism, because it was so much more striking to watch on TV and of course because of the mess of today's space program - which is pretty much the worst of all worlds thinkable, I guess ). My goal is only to keep the Shuttle alive (maybe only longer) by making it a little more safe (because no program would survive two loss of crew disasters) and to provide a little more flexibility to the program.
Thoughts?
E of pi and Truth is life, in their excellent timeline observed the possibilities of a continuing Apollo program, which, as it seems the whole board to agree, would have been probably one of the best possible alternative courses of space policy.
Nevertheless, I ask the question whether even after the decision for the Space Shuttle program, an alternative course would have been possible, and would it have avoided at least some of the disadvantages of the Space Shuttle.
Certainly, if you look for a reusable program a pure "crew taxi" would have been the most appropriate solution. Certainly the targeted launch rates that were brought in retrospectively to justify the program, unrealistic from the outset. The attempt to create an "all-purpose animal" in order to complete even all commercial launches was doomed to failure from the outset. The requirements of the Air Force, in calling for a massive cross range finally crippled the program. The immense financial burden of a technically immature experimental program with low launch rate and inherent safety problems have been discussed again and again. It seems, no one would choose the Space Shuttle again by hindsight
---
Nevertheless, I would like in particular to take advantage of the space shuttle. The emphasis will be placed on the concept of a true Space Transportation System. However, the requirements of the space shuttle remain the same as in reality. I These requirements are:
- Maximize reusability
- High launch rate as the sole carrier for commercial use
- Ability to offer a large crew up to 6 people and habitat for these
- Large cross range for the Air Force, that is very big wings
- High load capacity and very large payload space for military payloads (about 25 tons)
- Ability to carry out construction work in space
---
During this, the restrictions are the same as in OTL. In particular, there is no more money and the military requirements stay in. This results in:
Basically the same vehicle, no fundamentally different concepts. No SSTO, no true reusability, no winged first stage. I tried to make my proposal without too much hindsight, so there will be no Liquid Fuel Boosters, no ejectable crew compartment (preventing Challenger type accident) , no better TPS (lower maintenance cost), no internal titanium structure, no internal isolation of the external tank or upper mount of the orbiter (preventing Columbia type accident). The shuttle proposal is build in the same mindset as OTL, with all its errors.
In particular, the partial reusability remains, the main tank is thrown away. Same goes for the Solid Rocket Boosters, which were chosen for financial and industrial policy reasons. The TPS stays unfortunately the same, which is bad for maintenance, cost and the probability of a Columbia type disaster.My proposal includes the well-known principle shuttle concept. An orbiter with 3 SSME, a non-reusable tank with side-mounted Solid Rocket Boosters.
Let us see how far we can get with these conditions. The goals are:
- Significantly increased security
- Increased launch rate
- Increased flexibility and integration into an overall concept
- Increased ability to remain in orbit.
---
Now for the differences:
- The orbiter has a slightly increased length but with a shorter nose cone. There is no second deck below the cockpit. In the cockpit, there are only two pilots. These sit on ejection seats, or ejection capsules, which are derived from the B70 program and provide the opportunity to eject at high speeds and up to medium altitudes. This would give the opportunity to save the crew until the Solid Boosters are separated. After that, there would be the distant possibility of the RTLS maneuver or bail out at lower altitude. Behind the cockpit there is a tiny living space with kitchen, toilet and airlock. Directly and then follows the cargo space. The cargo doors edge is located over the airlock right behind the cockpit.
- Optional in cargo space behind the cockpit, a larger cabin module can be installed, which provides habitat for up to four more persons. This applies especially to long-term missions. The four people are sitting on ejection capsules, the cargo doors can be blasted. Even when the larger cabin module is used, there is sufficient space for more payload, such as the European Spacelab or other payload.
- In the hold, it is possible to install a solar panel providing electric energy during longer stays. Also, a manipulator system can be installed, which is served by a control panel at the air lock.
- Optionally any shuttle can fly unmanned. Here at the outset at least two orbiters built without cockpit and life support system that execute the commercial launches. By this, cost would be much reduced for a higher launch rate of up to 24 a year (which is still very much away from the predicted 55 launches a year rate NASA ridiculously envisioned) and higher production rate of components. Also the more risky flights with a Centaur Liquid Fuel Upper Stage for heavy planetary missions would fly unmanned. The unmanned orbiters have an increased payload of at least 35 tons. Later on, decreased performance SSME (commercial) with lower engine pressure could be installed for lower launch and maintenance cost at commercial flights, when less payload mass is needed.
---
With my proposal, I hope to get a better shuttle. The Air Force still gets the possibility for their once around missions, as well as their cross-range. As well as the commercial launches are carried out with the shuttle. These increase the start rate and number of satellites each carry with them. Here at the unmanned missions a part of the high cost is avoided.
The Space Shuttle has a higher security because of the ejection seats. Thus at least a Challenger disaster would have been survivable. Furthermore, it is hoped that the other errors provided by the mismanagement would have occurred in an unmanned mission. Same goes for a Columbia type disaster.
The Space Transportation System becomes just that. A flexible system. It allows for short missions with two pilots. It enables long stays or a large crew. It allows unmanned commercial flying large payload and at least some increased launch rate and at least slightly lower costs. IMHO, even also in TTL most payloads would be launched on EELV-type launcher systems, this Space Shuttle could be still alive and happy with a Shuttle derived HLV for Constellation equivalent on the way.
---
Notes:
The Shuttle of TTL is going to run in much of the same issues it ran into OTL. Also my Shuttle too will never achieve the planned launch rates or become cost effective in any way.
So my TL is far away from the best of all worlds (if I wanted that, I would go the way of eyes turned skywards, except a little Shuttle fanboyism, because it was so much more striking to watch on TV and of course because of the mess of today's space program - which is pretty much the worst of all worlds thinkable, I guess ). My goal is only to keep the Shuttle alive (maybe only longer) by making it a little more safe (because no program would survive two loss of crew disasters) and to provide a little more flexibility to the program.
Thoughts?
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