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What if during last stages of battle of Narva (19 November 1700)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Narva_(1700)
young Swedish monarch is wounded by musket ball and dies from his wound short after the battle? Russian army is defeated but at the same time Sweden lost its king, who happened to be skilled millitary leader. Field marshall Rehnskiöld takes command over Swedish army, but what would he do now, when king is dead?

12 years old Ulrika, Charles' sister is now queen, so regency is needed, Swedish absolutism is over. Saxon army besieged Riga-IOTL Carl headed south against them after Narva.
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