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4:10 PM, September 14th, 1982. Bachir Gemayel, the recently Lebanese president elect, was assassinated by a SSNP member.

I wonder what would've happen if there was no assassination or the attempt would've failed. would Lebanon become a second western country in the middle east? would a peace treaty be signed between Lebanon and Israel? would Syria attempt to conquer Lebanon, probably causing a war against Israel?
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