alternatehistory.com

For background, go here, particularly Skallagrim's excellent first post not far down:

https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...or-more-federal-divided-united-states.441372/

Supposing that instead of the OTL 1787 constitution, the American elites go for some revisions of the Articles of Confederation to make them actually work. Skallagrim has sketched out a scenario where this happens. Generally, the con-federal government gets secure funding for an standing army and navy, and maybe there are some other revisions, but what you get is Articles of Confederation plus, and no Washington administration.

Assume there is no centralist coup d'etat or revolt from New England, at least not before 1800.

What is the most likely direction for the future development of the USA?
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