WI: An arab country promoting family planning?

In 1915 Saudi-Arabia had population of some 1,9 million and now with some 33 million and rising. Due to economy based almost solely on oil this is clearly unsustainable.

Now, what if Saudi leadership, say, in 1960's, decided to promote family planning, perhaps with vast subsidies available due to oil income? Leading to population of perhaps, say, 10 million in 2017? Of course this policy would have risks, as smaller population would be better educated and thus less easy to reign upon.

As Saudi-Arabia is wahhabist crazycracy this might be of course ASB, but how about some arab socialist country, perhaps Egypt as prime candidate? What might Egypt with population of, say, 40-50 million people look like?
 
Most of Saudi Arabia's increase is because of immigrants. Foreigners currently make up anywhere between 20-35% of Saudis. And the current total fertility rate is 2.09 according to the CIA World Factbook.
 
Most of Saudi Arabia's increase is because of immigrants. Foreigners currently make up anywhere between 20-35% of Saudis. And the current total fertility rate is 2.09 according to the CIA World Factbook.
This.
Saudi Arabia already has the lowest birth rate in the Middle East by far.
 
Egypt is in fact promoting birth control: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...o-fight-rapid-population-growth-idUSKCN1BA153 "Egypt’s Al-Azhar university, a 1,000-year-old seat of Islamic learning, endorsed the ministry’s plan and said family planning is not forbidden. Ousted President Hosni Mubarak and his wife Suzanne set up a population control program decades ago but this is the first time the government says it is motivated by concern that rapid expansion saps the economy..."

Also, though it is not an Arab nation, Iran shows that it is possible even for an Islamist government to encourage contracrption:

"In Iran, where women give birth to 1.9 children on average, 79 percent of married women ages 15 to 49 use contraception, with 60 percent using a modern method. Such a high level of family planning use can be attributed in part to counseling and the use of long-term contraceptive methods. In rural areas, health workers called behvarz counsel women and couples on modern family planning methods; in cities, women volunteers connect women to neighborhood clinics for family planning and other health services. Since the mid-1990s, prospective brides and grooms have been required to take government-sponsored family planning classes in order to receive a marriage license. Young Iranian women and men are also exposed to age-appropriate and reliable sources of information on reproductive health issues when they are in high school and college. The Iranian government’s provision of long-term contraceptive
methods distinguishes its family planning program from those of other Muslim countries. In Iran, 24 percent of married women using contraception rely on the pill, 23 percent have chosen female sterilization, and 4 percent have a husband who has been sterilized..."
http://www.who.int/evidence/resources/policy_briefs/UNFPAPBunmentneed2012.pdf
 
Egypt is in fact promoting birth control: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...o-fight-rapid-population-growth-idUSKCN1BA153 "Egypt’s Al-Azhar university, a 1,000-year-old seat of Islamic learning, endorsed the ministry’s plan and said family planning is not forbidden. Ousted President Hosni Mubarak and his wife Suzanne set up a population control program decades ago but this is the first time the government says it is motivated by concern that rapid expansion saps the economy..."

However, TFR in Egypt has been slightly rising, being 3,31 in 2015. I would agree that given my limited information Nasserite Egypt might be a prime candidate for family planning.

Also, though it is not an Arab nation, Iran shows that it is possible even for an Islamist government to encourage contracrption:

Yes, Bangladesh is an another example, proving that islamic faith itself is no limit to family planning.

On Saudi-Arabia, I don't know why CIA's figures are completely different from eg. World Bank figures. World Bank shows TFR of 2,71 for 2015 in case of Saudi-Arabia. CIA figures also radically differ from what KSA Statistics provide.

In Algeria the TFR is 2.81, firmly over replacement level. Even in Syria the TFR rate was 2.9 in 2015.

But what is happening now, or happens in the future is outside the scope of my question, which is, what would an Arab country, or indeed the whole Arab world look like without the post-war population explosion? With more resources to education, more oil wealth to splurge upon population? Less environmental damage or more due to higher living standards? Less or more conflicts?
 
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