WI: Amyntas IV as King of Macedon?

[SunKing105]

An idea that came to me recently is that, taking advantage of this snippet from wikipedia:
Other historians (e.g., Justin 9.7) suggested that Alexander and/or his mother Olympias were at least privy to the intrigue, if not themselves instigators. Olympias seems to have been anything but discreet in manifesting her gratitude to Pausanias, according to Justin's report: He writes that the same night of her return from exile, she placed a crown on the assassin's corpse, and later erected a tumulus over his grave and ordering annual sacrifices to the memory of Pausanias.[27]
Now, I know wikipedia isn't the best of sources, however, let's assume that the basic assumption is somewhat true, that Olympias conspired to have Philip II murdered, with the tacit acceptance of Alexander. Regardless of whether it is true or not, a possible scenario is that Pausanias of Orestis does not trip on the vine, but he fails to escape Aegeae and reach his associates, ready with horses to carry him back. Under torture, he forcibly confesses that Olympias and Alexander were in on it, and the confession is presumably forced by nobles and generals opposed to Alexander, and he is publicly disgraced. Such a heinous deed ascribed to him damages his prestige and legitimacy, and Amyntas IV takes advantage of the chaos, and defeats Alexander and hunts him and his mother down. Amyntas manages to secure the succession in quick order, murdering any other possible threats. How would he fare as king of Macedonia, and how does he do against Persia? Does Amyntas settle for Anatolia, or would he go for the entire Eastern Med? How strong would he be as ruler? Or would he fail?

 

[isabella]

An idea that came to me recently is that, taking advantage of this snippet from wikipedia:
Other historians (e.g., Justin 9.7) suggested that Alexander and/or his mother Olympias were at least privy to the intrigue, if not themselves instigators. Olympias seems to have been anything but discreet in manifesting her gratitude to Pausanias, according to Justin's report: He writes that the same night of her return from exile, she placed a crown on the assassin's corpse, and later erected a tumulus over his grave and ordering annual sacrifices to the memory of Pausanias.[27]
Now, I know wikipedia isn't the best of sources, however, let's assume that the basic assumption is somewhat true, that Olympias conspired to have Philip II murdered, with the tacit acceptance of Alexander. Regardless of whether it is true or not, a possible scenario is that Pausanias of Orestis does not trip on the vine, but he fails to escape Aegeae and reach his associates, ready with horses to carry him back. Under torture, he forcibly confesses that Olympias and Alexander were in on it, and the confession is presumably forced by nobles and generals opposed to Alexander, and he is publicly disgraced. Such a heinous deed ascribed to him damages his prestige and legitimacy, and Amyntas IV takes advantage of the chaos, and defeats Alexander and hunts him and his mother down. Amyntas manages to secure the succession in quick order, murdering any other possible threats. How would he fare as king of Macedonia, and how does he do against Persia? Does Amyntas settle for Anatolia, or would he go for the entire Eastern Med? How strong would he be as ruler? Or would he fail?

No way who that will happen before Alexander had taken control and he was in no way involved in such conspiracy (Olympias well, maybe she 2as involved but is more likely who she was not and simply felt vindicated by Philip’s killer)

 

[SunKing105]

No way who that will happen before Alexander had taken control and he was in no way involved in such conspiracy (Olympias well, maybe she 2as involved but is more likely who she was not and simply felt vindicated by Philip’s killer)

It does not matter whether Olympias and Alexander were actually involved, all that matters is that the army and population believe it to be so. And Alexander can still be guilty by association, even if only Olympias was involved in the conspiracy.

 

[isabella]

It does not matter whether Olympias and Alexander were actually involved, all that matters is that the army and population believe it to be so. And Alexander can still be guilty by association, even if only Olympias was involved in the conspiracy.

In any case Alexander was much popular and his enemies were powerful but few and not popular as him.

 

[SunKing105]

In any case Alexander was much popular and his enemies were powerful but few and not popular as him.

That popularity would wane if a clear and identifiable connection with Philip's death can be established and linked to him. Can his enemies attempt to prevent news of Philip's death from reaching him in time for them to have a chance?

 

[isabella]

That popularity would wane if a clear and identifiable connection with Philip's death can be established and linked to him. Can his enemies attempt to prevent news of Philip's death from reaching him in time for them to have a chance?

Considering who Alexander and his uncle/brother-in-law were just few steps behinds Philip, when he was killed, as that happened during the celebrations for the wedding of Alexander’s sister Cleopatra to their maternal uncle Alexander of Epirus, and Olympias possibly also was there (while Attalus was away from Macedonia as he had already departed with the vanguard of the army because Philip planned to depart for his Asian campaign shortly after the wedding) no way in the hell anyone can do it. And is unlikely who Philip would be equally exposed in another moment (as Pausania was one of Philip’s bodyguards and caught everyone by surprise and was really quick, considering who both Alexander were pretty close to Philip (but had not visual on Philip when he was attacked and killed) and his other bodyguards were not distant...