WI: Amalric of Jerusalem survives his dysentery

So in 1174 Amalric of Jerusalem died from dysentery on the verge of launching another invasion of Egypt. He had already proven himself a capable general and was starting to finally get some support from the West he had also managed to gain some naval support and a significant enough army to invade Egypt. Nur ad-Din had just died leaving Muslim Syria in chaos and Egypt vulnerable to Amalric. Capturing Egypt would be vital as it would give the Christian states a significant base of operations as well as the huge wealth and grain reserves from the Nile. Not only that but a Sunni caliph had recently been established there and there was dissent among the Shi'ite Muslims of Egypt against the Sunni Caliph and they may well have supported the crusaders as the Shia had done during the first crusade. However there was one person stood in his way of doing so if he did get to his invasion, Saladin.

As we know Saladin was a great general but he would have little support from the territories of the Levant whereas Amalric would have naval support and dominance and possibly more support from the West. Not only that but it is possible that the Shi'ite Muslims would help him.

So if he didn't die in 1174 of dysentery at the age of only 38 could he have gone on to conquer Egypt and remove the general responsible for destroying the Kingdom of Jerusalem?

Could he then have re-conquered Syria afterwards?

Could he save the Crusader Kingdom?
 
Even if he is successful the succession would be still be an issue- Baldwin IV is still a leper. Who he marries his daughters to is equally important in this regard.

Best-cast scenario is a son by Maria Komnene who is a capable adult when Amalric dies. A female or minority succession could easily wipe out any gains Amalric makes, especially with the Outremer nobles penchant for infighting.

As for Egypt- even if he is victorious over the Muslims I'm not sure the Jerusalemites have the numbers to 'conquer' or maintain any real control over vast swathes of Egypt. They'd have to cultivate an alliance with the native (Coptic?) Christians (who still made up the majority of the population? Maybe?), but they'll probably just alienate them over obscure theological disputes.

Even if Amalric is stunningly successful and defeats all his enemies, demography is still against Outremer- they'd still be in a massively precarious position wherein a single bad defeat (a la Hattin) can basically doom them.
 
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I think who a son of Almaric and Maria Komnene is good for the Crusade States also as successor of Baldwin... Still if Almaric live longer, and his only surviving children are the same as OTL, the choice of husbands for Sibylla and Isabella will be his and is unlikely he will make two wrong choices (because OTL the problem were both Guy and Isabella's first husband) and is unlikely who his former wife will have much influence on the lives of their children (Baldwin and Sybilla) and the court so the disaster who OTL destroyed the Crusade States will likely never happen...
 
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