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What would Algeria look like, starting off as an autonomous province of the Ottoman Empire, if it had been spared the French conquest of 1830?

This is plausible enough—had the 1830 revolution happened just a bit earlier, Charles X might not have had the time to launch the conquest and present his successors with a fair accompli—but the course of Algerian history would have been radically changed.

It is plausible enough to speculate that, as France grew modern while the Maghreb lagged, Algeria might eventually fall into the French sphere of influence. If it did, however, it would do so as a protectorate like Tunisia and Morocco, not as a subject territory directly integrated into France. There might be some settlement, as in Tunisia and Morocco. Or, quite possibly, there might have been little settlement; Tunisia and Morocco were settled by Europeans, after all, following up from the Algerian experiment.

Would Algeria have remained united? Could it have fallen apart on provincial lines, into Algiers and Oran and Constantine?
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