WI/AHC: UNITA Victory in Angolan Civil War?

What if anytime during the Angolan Civil War (1975-1992/2002) UNITA militarily prevails over the MPLA? How would this occur? What would the end result be for Angola politically, economically, and in terms of human rights? IF it occurs during the Cold War, then how does this affect the Cold War struggle in Africa?
 
This probably has negligible impact. Angola would still be a corrupt oil kleptocracy long term. The clique who benefits just changes.

The US could claim victory in a region of the world that is fairly unimportant, and have another badly lead ally in Africa. If UNITA's victory came early on in the 1970s when the US had almost nothing but bad news, it would provide a modest relief. If in the 1980s, the ultimate end of the Cold War is so close anyway it becomes a footnote.
 
Actually, a UNITA victory could have long-term effects in the region.

It may well retard independence in Namibia - that will most likely still happen but possibly not in 1989.

It'll also have effects in South Africa. Any UNITA military victory will also be a de facto South African military victory. It's hard to say how exactly this will affect South African politics, but it may make the hawks in SA (Malan etc.) more confident and, perhaps more powerful. This may mean the moderates who battled it out to succeed PW Botha (De KLerk, Du PLessis, and Pik Botha) are completely sidelined and a hardliner succeeds PW. This will have all sorts of consequences for SA.

At the same time, a Unita victory is also a Cuban defeat, which could also have some implications there.

EDIT: Obviously, the above thoughts refer to a UNITA victory from about 1975 to about 1988, or thereabouts.
 
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What if UNITA and FLNA make nice? I think we could see a reverse of 2002 here. If your right marius, we may see an attempt at a internal settlement one bit of scuttle said Magope and Buthelzi team up with Malan to promote real partition. A breakway faction of the PAC comes in also. Just a historical fever dream
 
This would also have a huge impact on the two Congo Wars. UNITA was allied to Zaire and therefore Angola wouldn't join the anti-Mobutu coalition like they did OTL. If Savimbi brings in his army to stabilize the situation on the side of Zaire or even if he just gives the probable threat of such, the allied forces might settle for a frozen conflict instead of pushing on to Kinshasa.

So the DRC would be divided into two between a surviving Angola backed Zaire in the west and an allied backed East Congo. Potentially even a third state, if the FNLC after being expelled from a UNITA Angola, merge with the remnant MPLA forces and succeed in a Rwandan backed renewed Shaba III operation to restore Katanga during the power gap.

800px-First_Congo_War_map_en.png


Basically light green for west Zaire, blue for allied supported East Congo, and green contested, including Katanga Provence in the southeast.
 
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