WI/AHC: Surviving New Netherlands

How might we create a scenario in which the Dutch manage to keep the New Netherlands? Having done so, what effect might it have? Could the English then decide to grab the lower-hanging fruit of French Canada? Would the colonies of New England and Virginia still eventually seek independence? Would New Netherlands? Would the New Netherlands eventually expand into the interior? Would the English still found the colony of Carolina?
 
How about this: Willem Usselincx, one of the founders of the Dutch West India Company, initially promoted the idea of making New Netherlands into a major overseas settlers colony as early as 1600, but the State General instead voted for the formula of small trading posts and military bases. In OTL they didn't start to try attracting settlers in earnest until the 1650's, just a decade before losing the territory to Britain.

Say that Usselincx is more convincing, and the States General votes to encourage major settlement in the New World. By the 1660's, when they lost it in OTL this would be a territory that had been receiving major settlement for 60 years, and thus much less easy for the British to just sale in and occupy in the middle of one of their many wars with the Dutch.
 
How might we create a scenario in which the Dutch manage to keep the New Netherlands? Having done so, what effect might it have? Could the English then decide to grab the lower-hanging fruit of French Canada?

Canada was not very low hanging fruit, despite its small population. It was tough to invade, given the mostly inland nature of its settlements. Invading it meant either a difficult overland route via Lake Champlain or a long water route up the St. Lawrence. Moreover, it was located further away from the Eastern seaboard, where the English wanted to settle. It wouldn't have made a lot of sense for the English to target Canada over New Netherland, which was located right in the midst of their colonies.

In any event, though, the Dutch had the opportunity to hang onto New Netherland after the English invasion, but relinquished it in exchange for Suriname. If the Dutch decide that a settler colony is more valuable than a sugar-producing one, New Netherland remains theirs after 1667, at least for awhile. If they could have then held onto it until 1688, when William became the King of England and Scotland, then perhaps they'd have never lost it.
 
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Say that Usselincx is more convincing, and the States General votes to encourage major settlement in the New World. By the 1660's, when they lost it in OTL this would be a territory that had been receiving major settlement for 60 years, and thus much less easy for the British to just sale in and occupy in the middle of one of their many wars with the Dutch.
How would those figures compare to those for Cape Colony when Britain took that, either in absolute terms or [preferably] relative to British strength at the dates concerned?
 
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