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This is a scenario that's interested me for some time. What if, at some point in it's history, New York, and the rest of Long Island outside Brooklyn & Queens, had become part of New Jersey?
There's really just one condition: the POD is 1787, the year of the Constitutional Convention.
You may use things such as the secession of New England(think: VulcanTrekkie's 'verse, A Looser Union, or even DoD), or state breakups(like what was tried with State of Jefferson proponents IOTL), as a couple of examples.
Bonus points are awarded if New Jersey is split in half, and/or if New York state is carved up at some point(speaking of the latter: there was a scenario done by a guy going by the handle of Skelentov on DA, that was pretty good.).