How about a super duper best case senerio?
Russia does much better economically post SU fall, becomes liberal parlimentary social democracy, joins NATO!
With NATO streching all the way to the Pacific, people more and more see NATO as the World's Collective Security alliance.
Rules are altered to make this true.
Over next couple of years all First World Nations join Global NATO in the name of world wide Peace.
Isreal joins as payoff for Two State Solution that includes connected West Bank/Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as capital.
(Isreali Security now guaranteed by an alliance that encompasses all First World Nations plus).
Everyone lives happily ever after.