WI/AHC: China doesn't open

here's a Question is there any way that Communist China not get China's Seat into the UN and not recognized by most countries, and if the RoC was legally China up till today what would the world look like?
 
Taiwan and South Korea would be America's go-to place for cheap manufactured exports up until the late '90s. Not sure if those countries would be so eager to snap up US treasury bonds, but the fact that no single country could account for such a large share of US imports (they'd have to be split up between at least a few) would definitely alter US diplomatic policy in the Pacific Rim.
 
Taiwan and South Korea would be America's go-to place for cheap manufactured exports up until the late '90s. Not sure if those countries would be so eager to snap up US treasury bonds, but the fact that no single country could account for such a large share of US imports (they'd have to be split up between at least a few) would definitely alter US diplomatic policy in the Pacific Rim.

I'd guess Mexico, Nam and Pakistan would take up China's role in "cheep crap imported to the US" in the 2000s
 
I'd guess Mexico, Nam and Pakistan would take up China's role in "cheep crap imported to the US" in the 2000s

Nope, not enough infrastructure, education, access to the seas, and most importantly a culturally linked country near-by (Taiwan+Millions of Chinese Ex-pats) willing to jump start investments. There simply isn't another place with all the right ingredients on the same scale as China.

Expect higher inflation in the USA due to the lack of cheap imports in the quantity China now produces. More militarized American presence in the Pacific (probably). America by the gift/curse of the Greenback's status as the world's currency reserve will still get massive amounts of foreign capital, while less (conditional on too many butterflies) the housing crisis will still occur only if later.

Greece defaults irregardless, it's problems are structural and China has had very little influence here. If we are unlucky enough the Housing crisis comes at the same time as Greece crashes.

Less wealth in African/Latin countries due to decreased Chinese presence.

Not sure how long the USSR would last with China, then again their ideologies are divergent expect a bumpy road. Though I'm pretty sure the USSR would last longer without a hostile PRC, so later collapse and less fossil fuels reaching the EU driving up prices.

Expect less growth overall in the world, this in addition to the wars America fights and greater inflation could push unemployment far enough to tip an election or two (like Gore).

The Arab spring will be delayed due to the recession taking place later (plus lower demand for foodstuffs depressing prices)
 
Vietnam actually would be able to get the infrastructure to an extent they just wouldn't be able to make all of it
 
The collapse of communism had been lead by angry people and elites who had seen the wealth of the west. It'll be hard to butterfly all those new elites and mobs away.
 
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No Sino-Soviet split is hard. Let's say you delay it if the 1957 coup works. Hello, Molotov. By the time it seems like China can be used against the USSR, the radicals have won the Cultural Revolution :eek:
 
Nope, not enough infrastructure, education, access to the seas, and most importantly a culturally linked country near-by (Taiwan+Millions of Chinese Ex-pats) willing to jump start investments. There simply isn't another place with all the right ingredients on the same scale as China.

India was all those things including the Ex-pats.
 
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