WI: Agadir or Second Moroccan Crisis leads to war

Is it possible that the 1911 Agadir Crisis, which pitted Germany against France, Spain and England over disputes in Morocco, could lead to war?
If so, then how different will this earlier WWI be from OTL's?
With no proper balkan crisis or austro-hungarian involvement to speak of, will Russia or A-H still join the war?
The Agadir Crisis was just a few months before the Italo-Turkish War over Lybia, which was one year before the First Balkan War. How will butterflies affect these wars?
Considering that Moltke is still not chief of staff of the german military, which means that the original Schlieffen Plan is not altered (going through dutch Limburg), will the Netherlands be brought into the war against Germany?
Which side is more likely to win?
 
Russia was still allied to France and equally viewed Germany as a rival just as they did in 1914. Of course the Russian military was less prepared than in 1911 than in 1914, but I still think the Tsar would go to war if France was also at war with Germany. If Belgium and the Netherlands are invaded than Britain is sure to join. The U.S at this time was under Taft, an invasion of the neutral Netherlands is going to send massive butterflies to America and the 1912 election. A-H would join Germany if Russia attacked them. Italy would likely, imo, remain neutral, though they are in my opinion more likely to join Germany than in 1914.
 
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