WI: A Successful Postcolonial Mayan State?

[The_Persian_Cat]

So, I looked up some of the history of the Yucatán on Wikipedia, and it is fascinating. There were a lot of Yucatán independence and autonomist movements from the 18th and 19th centuries, it seems. The Rebellion of Jacinto Canek happened in the middle of the 18th century, and the Caste War of 1847-1901 dominated the latter half of the 19th century. The Republic of the Yucatán was independent from 1841-1848, and even before then, Yucatán rebelled against Santa Anna's attempts to create a centralised, de-federalised Mexican state. And all of this was motivated largely by Mayan and other native interests against Hispanic (both White and Mestizo) preeminence.

My question is, how likely would an independent Mayan-dominated state centred in the Yucatán be in the 18th or 19th centuries? How successful could this state be? What would its relations be like with other breakaway nations from Mexico, like the Texan Republic or the United Provinces of Central America? What would its relations be with the United States, Haiti, Gran Colombia (and/or its successor states) and other young nations in the New World? What would its relations be with Spain and other European powers? What would its relations be with other indigenous independence movements, like those among the Chumash Indians, the Pima Indians, or later the Ghost Dance Movement?

Cheers, all!

 

[GullibleCynic]

There was the Republic of the Yucatan of course. They were fairly mexicanized by that point, but a linguistic revival is certainly not out of the question. It seems unlikely that such a state would be able to play the mexicans and americans off each other and thus retain their independence, but it could still happen. It seems more likely it gets absorbed back into mexico as in OTL, or becomes an american state, but weirder things have happened