WI: A more daring Joseph Stalin in 1950 = The Iron will pact

Before I start, until 3-4 months ago I thought the Berlin wall was built in 1950 or so and that Berlin was on the line between east and west Germany. I looked it up and so now I am including the 1950 wall part as a POD for my main idea.

The ATL/WI below:

Okay the first change on January 10th 1950 where after the Berlin air lift Stalin now wanting to prove his power orders the Iron curtain to be built like the one in the OTL.

He also meets with China and North Korea on April 19th 1950 to sign the Iron Will Pact or IWP with the following guidelines:

1) If any of the nations is attacked in this pact then all party's go to war with the aggressor.

2) If any of the nations go to war then all nations in this pact must agree to help defend the nation(s) at war on request.

Then the Korean war breaks out like in OTL with china drafting 3,000,000 troops to commit. Russia chooses to boldly openly and fully commit to controlling the air space above North Korea.

How would this have impacted the Korean War and could have this more daring move by the reds led to a nuclear exchange?
 
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It's unlikely that Stalin would have signed such a pact, particularly since in 1950 he was already planning the Korean War. In Stalin's thinking North Korea would invade South Korea, and either the US would intervene or it wouldn't. If the US didn't intervene then Stalin would have a puppet state controlling all of the Korean Peninsula. If the US did intervene Stalin figured that the Chinese would intervene. A Chinese intervention against the US would tie Mao (who Stalin didn't fully trust) even closer to the Soviet Union, thus protecting Soviet dominance. Either way it's a win-win for the Soviets. Getting the USSR involved in the Korean War completely ruins that plan, and Stalin knew that the USSR wasn't ready to fight another world war.

Also, clause 3 makes no sense. At the time the Soviet Union was the only Communist nation with nukes, and Stalin would have no reason to give the Chinese an excuse to stay neutral in World War III.
 
It's unlikely that Stalin would have signed such a pact, particularly since in 1950 he was already planning the Korean War. In Stalin's thinking North Korea would invade South Korea, and either the US would intervene or it wouldn't. If the US didn't intervene then Stalin would have a puppet state controlling all of the Korean Peninsula. If the US did intervene Stalin figured that the Chinese would intervene. A Chinese intervention against the US would tie Mao (who Stalin didn't fully trust) even closer to the Soviet Union, thus protecting Soviet dominance. Either way it's a win-win for the Soviets. Getting the USSR involved in the Korean War completely ruins that plan, and Stalin knew that the USSR wasn't ready to fight another world war.

Also, clause 3 makes no sense. At the time the Soviet Union was the only Communist nation with nukes, and Stalin would have no reason to give the Chinese an excuse to stay neutral in World War III.

I forgot about that when I wrote clause 3. The whole point of this is that Stalin is more willing to be bold to prove the west is weaker than him or at lest appear that way.
 
Nitpick: Iron curtain wasn't built - it was a phrase coined by Winston Churchill in 1946. What you were thinking about is Berlin Wall.

Also, Berlin Wall was built on orders of GDR government, not Soviet one.
 
Nitpick: Iron curtain wasn't built - it was a phrase coined by Winston Churchill in 1946. What you were thinking about is Berlin Wall.

Also, Berlin Wall was built on orders of GDR government, not Soviet one.

Yes I know it was called the Berlin wall, but many also know it as the Iron Curtain.

As for the 2nd thing, the fact is if the Soviet's told them to build the wall it would have happened end of story. The GDR government was more like a puppet state than a independent government in reality.
 
USA 235 warheads, USSR 1 in 1949

1950, 369 to 5
1951 640 to 25
1952 1005 to 50
1953 1436 to 120

That's why Uncle Joe was mostly cautious. He would lose WWIII
 
Stalin was not necessarily planning to invade South Korea. Kim Il Sung was hot to invade starting almost as soon as he had secured control over the northern (Soviet occupied) half of Korea. When the US Secretary of State, in a speech in 1950, did not include Korea when the US "zone of interest" in the Pacific was defined Stalin assumed the USA did not care about Korea and gave Kim the green light. The "exclusion" was not, of course, for real it was simply Stalin mis-interpreting what was said - true, the USA did not see South Korea at that time as a "key" interest, but it was not disinterested as events proved.

Stalin throughout his career on the international level would take whatever was easy, but would not take big risks. Signing some sort of treaty that obligated the USSR to join a fight that somebody else started (China, the DPRK, etc) and risking the Rodina is something he would never ever do. Priority one for Stalin first, last, and always was protecting Communism in the USSR - controlling Eastern Europe was about protecting the USSR not expanding communism per se. Read up on the ideological differences between Stalin and "communism in one country" and Trotsky "world revolution" for a deeper understanding of this.
 
Stalin was not necessarily planning to invade South Korea. Kim Il Sung was hot to invade starting almost as soon as he had secured control over the northern (Soviet occupied) half of Korea. When the US Secretary of State, in a speech in 1950, did not include Korea when the US "zone of interest" in the Pacific was defined Stalin assumed the USA did not care about Korea and gave Kim the green light. The "exclusion" was not, of course, for real it was simply Stalin mis-interpreting what was said - true, the USA did not see South Korea at that time as a "key" interest, but it was not disinterested as events proved.

Stalin throughout his career on the international level would take whatever was easy, but would not take big risks. Signing some sort of treaty that obligated the USSR to join a fight that somebody else started (China, the DPRK, etc) and risking the Rodina is something he would never ever do. Priority one for Stalin first, last, and always was protecting Communism in the USSR - controlling Eastern Europe was about protecting the USSR not expanding communism per se. Read up on the ideological differences between Stalin and "communism in one country" and Trotsky "world revolution" for a deeper understanding of this.

I know how Stalin thought as he tried to join the axis to protect himself from Hitler, the last thing he wanted to do was get dragged into the 2nd world war. I just wondered what if he grew a spine or choose to be more bold than in the OTL.
 
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