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Also inspired (to a degree) by this thread...

I've read FDR intended it only to apply to military-grade fuels, like avgas. So what happens if he gets his intended embargo, instead of the total one OTL? Does she buy from the Sovs, or Venezuela, or Mexico, instead? Does the U.S. put pressure on the LatAm nations not to sell? If so, what is the threat? Does the U.S. simply buy up Lat Am oil, outbidding Japan?

Does Japan still need to "go South"? Does the need (desire?) to cut Chiang's LOCs trump the reduced oil need, if Japan is getting avgas & such from (frex) the Sovs, & civilian oil still from the U.S.?
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