WI: 1925 German Presidential Election - No Hindenburg

Though Hindenburg originally had no interest in running for public office during the 1925 election, he was subsequently persuaded by Alfred von Tirpitz to run in the second round of the election. Had Tirpitz failed to convince Hindenburg, how different would the outcome of the runoff election be?

Is it plausible for the SPD and the Zentrum to co-support Wilhelm Marx in the second election as in OTL, but against Jarres rather than Hindenburg? If this had been the case, who would have obtained a plurality?
 
Whatever happens, the butterflies will be enormous.

Marx is certainly imaginable and would make a whole lot of a difference when it comes to the 1930-32 constitutional crisis.

OTOH, we must also face the fact that without Hindenburg, a Hitler presidency in 1932 might become a possibility.

A different right-wing president could, if re-elected in 1932, also continue to keep Hitler away from the Reichskanzlei until the storm abates.
 
Its my personal opinion, that Hindenburg after his reelection 1932 willfull destroyed the Republic and betrayed the people who voted for him.
Still, in the time between 1925 and 1932, I think, he stabilized the Republic. A Republic with Hindesburg as president was for many people acceptable and the Reichswehr would never start a coup against Hindenburg. So its possible we will have an even strnger opposition from the Right against the Republic and a takeover from Hitler as President in 1932 looks quite realsitic.
 
Its my personal opinion, that Hindenburg after his reelection 1932 willfull destroyed the Republic and betrayed the people who voted for him.

Yes, that is absolutely true. But he and his entourage completely miscalculated the situation and ended up with a situation they didn't really want. It is not as if January '33 was going by plan, but was simply an intrigue-fest driven by vanities and ambitions.

Still, in the time between 1925 and 1932, I think, he stabilized the Republic.

Yes, but every decent president would have had a stabilizing role post-1925. The period was virtually self-stabilizing after the upheavals of 1918-1924.
You are right about the Reichswehr never starting a coup against Hindenburg, but during this period of time, I do not see that danger very much (actually not even later, because as long as the political militias are so numerous and the Reichswehr so restricted that they are not guaranteed to be the dominating faction in what might lead to civil war, the risk would always be deemed too high).

So its possible we will have an even strnger opposition from the Right against the Republic and a takeover from Hitler as President in 1932 looks quite realsitic.

That is the danger I would be really afraid of. One more year of Hitler.

The election results of 1932 make it seem probable that Hindenburg kept a few right wingers on his side which had some disgust over Hitler but were nationalists or very conservative. I am anything but sure if these voter would have supported a SPD or Zentrum-candidate. If Stresemann had lived, that might have been a different situation.

Though- you never know how they Nazis might screw up if confronted with the nadir of the Depression instead of sailing on the breezes of global economical recovery.

I assume though, that Hitler as president would make the whole "Gleichschaltung" even easier as he could select a Reichskanzler to his liking and so the NSDAP would have both offices in their hands in no time.
 
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