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OK, this requires two PODs (or maybe 1.5 POD). The first is that the Lusitania is not sunk, and the surge of anti-German feeling in America does not rise. Following this, butterflies cause the Germans to not adopt unrestricted submarine warfare.

The second is that Charles Evan Hughes manages to get himself elected President in the 1916 elections.

Now, would Hughes have been able to muster support for war against Germany in this relatively less anti-German environment, or would he have even wanted to go to war at all? And (obligatory question), would this have been enough to win Germany the war?

Or, was war more-or-less inevitable?
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