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An idle thought, inspired by some of the older discussions of the future of White Russia.

We tend to presume that the default scenario is that it ends up with a Western European standard of living, like Finland and the Baltic States have. But...

A quick look at per capita incomes around the world, drawn from the IMF:

Mexico: $14,406
Russia: $15,612
Argentina: $15,901
Brazil: $11,273

Is there a reason to assume that non-red Russia, in whatever form, wouldn't end up as mega Mexico?
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