Who have the Serbs killed in Sarajevo now?

http://www.nytimes.com/1992/06/29/w...into-sarajevo-shells-temper-message-hope.html

At the end of the visit, Mr. Mitterrand's convoy ran into an exchange of fire between Serbian forces and Bosnian Government militiamen.Serbian tanks moved into airport territory and started firing at Bosnian snipers who had wounded three Serbian guards at the terminal. The shooting briefly trapped Mr. Mitterrand and a party of 15 aides in an airport building a few hundred yards from the tanks.
Mr. Mitterrand's visit was punctuated by gunfire almost from the moment he set foot in Sarajevo, with snipers firing on his convoy of armored personnel carriers as it drove into the city.
Within five minutes of the convoy's arrival, a mortar round landed less than 100 yards from the room where he met with Mr. Izetbegovic.
This was June 28, 1992. WI Mitterrand had been killed during either of these incidents?
 

Hendryk

Banned
The Serbs lose most of the support they still had from the French at that point (which was mostly a throwback to WW1 anyway) and the pro-intervention side gets significantly stronger across Europe. However, one must keep in mind that it was a complicated period for the EEC, as the ratification of the Maastricht Treaty was underway and the process was anything but smooth, so reaching a consensus on a foreign policy issue would remain quite tricky.

In domestic French politics, Mitterrand's death comes at the perfect moment for the Socialists. Various scandals were beginning to come to the surface, and the left-wing parliamentary majority was clearly losing steam--in OTL they were trounced at the legislative elections in 1993. With Mitterrand dead, early presidential elections have to be scheduled, and assuming a victory for the incumbent Socialists, Mitterrand's successor would probably call for new legislative elections.
 
With Mitterrand dead, early presidential elections have to be scheduled, and assuming a victory for the incumbent Socialists, Mitterrand's successor would probably call for new legislative elections.

Who would the Socialists run? Delors? Rocard? Emmanuelli?
 

archaeogeek

Banned
Who would the Socialists run? Delors? Rocard? Emmanuelli?

The feminist in me says Cresson, but at 60 for a first quinquennat, she's pretty old (that also applies to Rocard).

Emmanuelli has the advantage of youth over the others, being only 48 at the time.

On the other hand, age is not necessarily a handicap - Mitterrand's presidency followed a pretty long cursus and he was 65 already in 1981. Gender would probably be more of one (and age double standards, although she looked much much younger than her age), as would potentially the association with power of both former prime ministers. So my pick is unlikely.

Emmanuelli is admittedly the only one I don't know...
 

Hendryk

Banned
The feminist in me says Cresson, but at 60 for a first quinquennat, she's pretty old (that also applies to Rocard).
I'm not seeing Cresson, she was already out of her depth as a PM, and as you know, it takes a long time to build up the credentials of a présidentiable in France. Both Mitterrand and Chirac had to work at it for more than a decade. Delors would have made a great candidate but I don't see him cut short his second term as president of the European Commission in the context of the ratification of the Maastricht Treaty.

Fabius's reputation is at that point seriously damaged by the contaminated blood scandal, so he's out of the picture. Rocard was notoriously disliked by Mitterrand and his resignation as PM is still fresh in everyone's minds. Jospin was chosen at the last minute in OTL and I don't see him making it to the short list in TTL. I guess Emmanuelli is the default Socialist candidate.
 
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