Fenestella
Banned
Who predicted on record when the USSR would collapse within an impressively small margin of error?
What reasons did he indicate?Journalist Bernard Levin, in the Independent Newspaper about October 1977, predicted that it might fall on the bicentenary of the fall of the Bastille, ie 14 July, 1989.
I recall writing to him to congratulate him on his accuracy.
What reasons did he indicate?
It really looks like the second half of the 70's and the beginning of the 80's. But it seems to me that this is a consequence of the stagnation process, and not a direct reason. The best thing about possible reasons was written by Lev Trotsky.It's been a long time, but he reckoned that nobody really took the ideology seriously any more, and that before too much longer a lot of people, who had been keeping their opinions to themselves even in private, would wake up to the fact that they were the majority now.