The 5 Civilized tribes are your best candidates, as they were the most willing to act within the frame of American law.
These are: The Cherokee, the Chickasaw, the Choctaw, the Creek (Muscogee) and the Seminoles.
what about the Iroquois Confederacy?
what about the Iroquois Confederacy?
Before the ARW, they certainly had the capabilities to hold them off, and were on decent enough terms.There problem with the iroquois is they had really low population numbers. There werent enough of them to hold off the whites long enough to get good terms, or to form a state.
Eh, that depends.As for the 5 civilized tribes, theyd have to work together bonsistently, when the individual nations had significant divisions within them, let alone between them.
That'd require a POD back before the ARW. The Northern Frontier saw a lot of really brutal fighting that broke the already somewhat strained ties that held the Confederacy together, and along with the Sullivan Expedition destroyed any power the six nations had left, driving most of the survivors into Canada.
Before the ARW, they certainly had the capabilities to hold them off, and were on decent enough terms.
Get a prophet, or some other sort of holy figure calling for a unified front and a couple competent war-chiefs with good political links to and a good understanding of Europeans, serving as an over-all military commander and chief negotiator for the Confederacy as a whole. Akiatonharónkwen and Thayendanegea are the best choices for this, with Thayendanegea the best choice as he's an Anglican and Freemason, who spent extensive periods in New England early on.
They'd have to get explicit recognition by the colonies as being their complete equal, with all the same rights as any other sovereign state to make it work, which would be a tall order for the Continental Congress.
The Seminoles are something different. Had they not been taking in escaped slaves, while raiding the south-east as much as they had (something underwritten by British agents in Florida,) they probably would've been ignored by the Georgian government and Congress.
They probably could have come into the Union on their own terms if they so wanted, given that really, no-one else really gave a shit about East Florida, aside from the vicinity of St. Augustine, and the sea islands, especially after New Smyrna failed, although it had been noted that Tampa Bay would've been nice to have.
The Keys and the Dry Tortugas were pretty much a separate issue at this point.
That said, it wouldn't just be the Seminoles themselves in most of East Florida, but also the Black Seminoles/Maroons, and various other groups that seriously benefited from the relative lawless in the region.
Yeah, maybe for 50 years or so. Thayendanegea and Degonwadonti had a lot of pull in the period. Of course, it depends partly on who William Johnson's sucessor as the Superintendent of Indian Affairs is. Guy Johnson would be a possible sucessor.If the ARW failed before Sullivan's Trail or even better, prevented, Thayendanegea could have helped the Iroquois remain a semi-autonomous part of the British Empire. At the very least, for the period.
They're even more out of the way. They'd possibly be better off than the Ojibway because of that.The Seminoles might have ended up like the Ojibway in Minnesota and Wisconsin.
Are we talking state as in a member of the Union, or state as in a fully sovereign state?
Assuming that 'state' means a U.S. state like New York, Ohio, etc., to what extent and for how long would an Indian state be viable? It seems quite likely that any state designated as specifically Indian would, in the long run, be flooded by white American immigrants, in which case they would end up like any other state with some historical/cultural quirks.
Also, what is an "Indian" state? If it means a state with a predominantly Indian population, it's probably possible with a distant enough POD to stop white settlers or increase the native birthrate somehow, since we're only talking about a state or two. But I would argue that a state with a governor, congressmen, etc. is just another American territorial division which happens to have a lot of Amerindian citizens. An actual Indian state which retains a native form of governance would basically be a large reservation, and runs the risk of being isolated from the mainstream political system.
I concur, except for the notion it would of necessity be a "reservation". Given changes in the constitution it might be possible for such an Indian state to be defined as an "Autonomous Region". An ethnically distinct territory that is self-governed according to tribal laws that also provides votng representatives in congress.
I think that for self-governing Indian territories to be represented in Congress - that is to say, to have a vote on affairs and matters that concern America as a whole - you would require such a distant POD as to obviate any discussion on the USA as we know it.
For that matter, when the 5 civilized tribes and others tried to set up the state of Sequoyah, it was really a desperate, last-ditch attempt to defend themselves from white encroachment.
what about the Iroquois Confederacy?