What's the probability of the survival of Adolf Hitler in World War I?

What is the probability of the survival of Adolf Hitler in WWI from 1914 to 1918?

  • 10%

    Votes: 5 7.5%
  • 20%

    Votes: 2 3.0%
  • 30%

    Votes: 11 16.4%
  • 40%

    Votes: 8 11.9%
  • 50%

    Votes: 16 23.9%
  • 60%

    Votes: 4 6.0%
  • 70%

    Votes: 9 13.4%
  • 80%

    Votes: 4 6.0%
  • 90%

    Votes: 8 11.9%

  • Total voters
    67
Survival does not equal survival as all your parts still attached. I think Hitler in many timelines might get wounded worse than OTL, but the man was hardly stupid in a combat zone. Hitler might end up in a lot of ATLs with a hand or a leg missing, perhaps, which likely means he never becomes Fuhrer. But that's still survival.
 
A little research says... Germany had about 2m soldiers killed out of about 8.5m mobilized. On the other hand, at mobilization time, they had a lot less (I'd guess more than a million but I can't find a reputable source in the thirty seconds remaining before I have to go). And casualties amongst those poor sods were a lot higher, since they got to fight through four years of russian roulette-style combat. I'd guess not more than 50% chance of survival, probably more like 33%.

And @ snake: Sure, being smart helps. But, frankly, a lot of it - a hell of a lot of it - is just the blind luck of whether or not you're under that shell when it comes down.
 
Survival does not equal survival as all your parts still attached. I think Hitler in many timelines might get wounded worse than OTL, but the man was hardly stupid in a combat zone. Hitler might end up in a lot of ATLs with a hand or a leg missing, perhaps, which likely means he never becomes Fuhrer. But that's still survival.

A war wound doesn't mean you're out of politics; witness Goebbels (well, OK, he had club foot, but he said it was a war wound).
 
During his WW1 service wasn't Hitler caught in the open by a British sniper who had a clear shot at him but just decided not to fire? I seem to remember that he met the guy after the war and had a picture of him on his wall but my memory could be faulty.
 
Have you folks read Swarm on the Somme? His odds of survival were like 130% fighting wimpy humans.
 
Most participants of the Western Front survived, popular historiography notwithstanding. That said, he did indeed occupy one of the more risky positions for someone in defensive army.

60%

Your wording is off, I suppose, but whatever. One nitpick is enough - why bother with a fifth?
 
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