What would have happened if Publius Varus had won the Battle of teutoburg forest?

But then again, Romans didn't conquer lands just for fun of it, they attacked those lands that already had developed economy, cities etc which could be integrated into Roman economy or were needed to protect Italian lands. Germania fulfiled neither of these criteria so unless Romans find those mineral deposits fairly soon or know about them before 9AD and get accurate estimates about profitability it's likely they'll just say "ah, screw it" and not bother with it.

What, yes they did. Well, attacked might be a better word. The Roman economy needed slaves just as much (more, really) than it needed natural resources or cities; Though raids would have sufficed for that. Furthermore, every Roman senator, especially the Principes, wanted military glory, which was a good enough reason of itself to go campaigning. But, as Elfwine said, this did not necessitate long-term conquest, merely raids. Conquest was never out of the question, however; Rome did make some abortive plans to Romanize Germania; and also, while I think that some urban centers were developed in Gallia and Britannia, I don't think they were enough to justify conquest on economic reasons alone.
 
but do you think that it would be profitable enough to A) keep the Romans there plus add nessarcy legions to garrision the Province? and B) raise even extra legions for further expansion?

That´s difficult to answer.

Not losing 3 legions but only a few thousand soldiers is definitely a net gain for the Romans. It´s quite easy to imagine that in this case treason by Germanic tribes will led them to spend even more effort on Germania Magna. A matter of honor so to speak.

Not winning the battle at Teutoburg Forest is definitely a net loss for the alliance of Germanic tribes. Difficult to see how the alliance would survive that.

If the Romans are smart, they´ll accept the submission of Germanic tribes. However Roman pride might demand that they punish every tribe involved in the Teutoburg Forest battles?
So in one scenario they might divide their opponents, in another they´ll force them into a fight to the death. Which is more realistic, I just don´t know?

In a best case scenario they´ll divide their opponents. Some local revolts but they could occupy Germania Magna up to the river Elbe. Inside 10-20 years they would discover and start to exploit some of the rich mineral deposits in Germania Magna. Will they stay long enough to discover them?

That wouldn´t be enough to pay the 7-8 legions normally stationed at the river Rhine and upper river Danube border. But it would shift the burden gradually.
With several decades of peace they´d get a shorter border - perhaps needing 5-6 legions only? - plus mineral resources (gold, silver, copper) to pay perhaps 2-3 of them? Rising gradually. Meaning that "older" provinces won´t have to pay for them.

If it works perfectly well, the Romans might be able to raise 2-3 additional legions later in the first century AD. Given that Germania Magna now is able to pay for several legions.
In that case I´d think that Roman Emperors might be interested in Britain now. Tin, you know. You want to mint bronze coins, the Roman As, you need copper (available in the Roman Empire) and tin. The best source for now is in Britain?

There´s also tin in the Ore Mountains of course but not known yet.

And I should also caution that the river Elbe isn´t that big of an obstacle compared to the river Rhine. The river Elbe is / was wide and shallow. Lots of places where warriors could wade across the river. So it´s still possible that a weakened Roman Empire might retreat from the river Elbe to the river Rhine in the 3th or 4th century.
On the other hand a weakened Roman Empire giving up so much territory might get enough time to fortify the Rhine border? Using Germania Magna as a buffer zone, so to speak?
 
Could the Romans establised client states between the Rhine and the Elbe (or even father east)? An occupation on the cheap so to say.
 
Could the Romans establised client states between the Rhine and the Elbe (or even father east)? An occupation on the cheap so to say.

It probably would have been a far wiser policy than their OTL policy, which consisted of squeezing the Germanic tribes, which facilitated the way for Arminius to bring together his coalition of Roman resistance.
 
Hey man, just let me wank over my Romance Colangs in peace (I don't know, curiosity mostly)

I don't mind - much - I just want to know what the Romans do when the next troubles appear, because it defies my suspension of disbelief that you'd get a trouble-free occupation if you just get one victory here.
 
What, yes they did. Well, attacked might be a better word. The Roman economy needed slaves just as much (more, really) than it needed natural resources or cities; Though raids would have sufficed for that. Furthermore, every Roman senator, especially the Principes, wanted military glory, which was a good enough reason of itself to go campaigning. But, as Elfwine said, this did not necessitate long-term conquest, merely raids. Conquest was never out of the question, however; Rome did make some abortive plans to Romanize Germania; and also, while I think that some urban centers were developed in Gallia and Britannia, I don't think they were enough to justify conquest on economic reasons alone.

Well, Gauls have been bothering Rome for centuries so defeating them made sense even without economic incentive. I'll give you Britannia though I think they had something of a functioning economy beyond purely tribal level. As for raids, how often did that happen? If you look at Roman history after Augustus (i.e. Empire) expansion was in areas that offered rich pickings. Dacia, Middle East.... or ones that were already underway (Britannia).

As I said, from Roman perspective in early 1st century Germania simply wasn't worth it. Teutoburg forrest simply drove that home, showing it will be both undeveloped and unruly province.
 
Well, Gauls have been bothering Rome for centuries so defeating them made sense even without economic incentive. I'll give you Britannia though I think they had something of a functioning economy beyond purely tribal level. As for raids, how often did that happen? If you look at Roman history after Augustus (i.e. Empire) expansion was in areas that offered rich pickings. Dacia, Middle East.... or ones that were already underway (Britannia).

As I said, from Roman perspective in early 1st century Germania simply wasn't worth it. Teutoburg forrest simply drove that home, showing it will be both undeveloped and unruly province.

Which is essentially true; After Teutoburg Forest, it's certainly the case that outright conquest was considered out of the question; However, Germanicus himself engaged in some desultory raids into Germania, partly to avenge Teutoburg, but they were just that, raids.
 
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