What would happen in Brazil if the Portuguese Royal Family was captured in 1807?

Ok, assume that the Portuguese Royal Family was captured in 1807 or even as far back as the "War of the Oranges" in 1801 (though I don't know how this would work).

The Royal Family doesn't make it to Brazil. What happens to Brazil?

Do they rebel against the Bonaparte King/French puppet put in charge?

Does Great Britain try to take over? How would the Brazilians react?

Any ideas?

Thanks.
 
To deny access to the french, british captures brazilian ports.

After 1815, devolves back to Portugal.

No royal family in Brazil, no road to independence here for a while, we would still be a colony of Portugal for more time.
 
If the Portuguese court cooperates with the French/Spanish, do the British attempt to attack or seize parts of Brazil akin to Argentina 1810(ish)?
 
If the Portuguese court cooperates with the French/Spanish, do the British attempt to attack or seize parts of Brazil akin to Argentina 1810(ish)?

Certainly, the british strategy is to deny resources to Napoleon, they would try to take ports in Brazil, Angola and Mozambique. Probably would annex Goa and Timor Leste.
 
in 1807, Britain is unquestioned master of the sea. Actually, they had been for decades, but after Trafalgar, there is zero doubt that France has no way to take advantage of Brazil. The best France could hope for is to capture Portugal's fleet along with the royals, but even then Britain has the means to eliminate any threat that might pose.

So, the question isn't whether Britain denies French/Portuguese access to the colony, but what form it takes. They're still licking their wounds from screwing up in Buenos Aires, so I doubt they go the take over route. They can fairly easily block the main ports and/or encourage the Brazilians to not take orders from the victors in Portugal. Dunno if they'd go so far as to foster independence. Depends whether there's a resistance group in Portugal, or whether they all just roll over and accept being partitioned into 3 and given new masters. You can look for clues from Spain and it's colonies during the Iberian war. France didn't have access to the colonies, and Britain didn't foster independence. After the war, presuming same outcome as OTL, I'm guessing Brazil goes the same route as Spanish colonies: a path towards independence, with Brazil splintering into several countries. Even with the King in Brazilian residence, there were still separatist movements. And, if I recall correctly, the Amazon region was a separate political entity from the rest of Brazil in colonial times, until Joao merged them together when he arrived.
 
in 1807, Britain is unquestioned master of the sea. Actually, they had been for decades, but after Trafalgar, there is zero doubt that France has no way to take advantage of Brazil. The best France could hope for is to capture Portugal's fleet along with the royals, but even then Britain has the means to eliminate any threat that might pose.

So, the question isn't whether Britain denies French/Portuguese access to the colony, but what form it takes. They're still licking their wounds from screwing up in Buenos Aires, so I doubt they go the take over route. They can fairly easily block the main ports and/or encourage the Brazilians to not take orders from the victors in Portugal. Dunno if they'd go so far as to foster independence. Depends whether there's a resistance group in Portugal, or whether they all just roll over and accept being partitioned into 3 and given new masters. You can look for clues from Spain and it's colonies during the Iberian war. France didn't have access to the colonies, and Britain didn't foster independence. After the war, presuming same outcome as OTL, I'm guessing Brazil goes the same route as Spanish colonies: a path towards independence, with Brazil splintering into several countries. Even with the King in Brazilian residence, there were still separatist movements. And, if I recall correctly, the Amazon region was a separate political entity from the rest of Brazil in colonial times, until Joao merged them together when he arrived.

I tend to agree. Great Britain would not likely tried to basically conquer Brazil akin to Rio Plata in 1807. They would just cut off trade until the Brazilians came around to their way of thinking.

Lacking a central authority to unify them, the Brazilian provinces would become even more decentralized. If the Napoleonic Era extended another 5 or 10 years to around 1825 timeframe, I doubt this seperation could be reversed.
 
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