Let's assume that the military coup succeeded, key figures of the government were arrested and the goverment was overthrown. (Assuming that the government had no time to rally the people against the armed putsch.) What would happen after this?
(1) This section is not for discussion of current politics.
(2) Anything with a POD that is only one day old is current politics. Yes, you can say that it is in the (very, very, very recent) past and that it therefore is technically allohistory, but in fact it is about current politics.
(3) A good clue that something is about current events rather than allohistory is that virtually *all* the consequences are in the present or future.