What would a Shining Path Peru be like?

Suppose Abimael Guzman's Sendero Luminoso/Shining Path took power in Peru in the 1980s' or '90s, what would it have been like? I've heard it said that the Sendero would have abolished money and industry, would that have been the case? Or was it simply assumed that because the Sendero were radical Maoists that they would have been just like the Khmer Rouge?
 
Sounds like Pol Pot's Year Zero, redux.

Could you please elaborate? After all, Pol Pot and most of the KR leadership were educated in France, their ideology was influenced by the French Revolution (in fact, I think that the Year Zero concept was from there).
 
What matters where the initial impetus comes from, when the actions are virtually the same? If they're abolishing industry, then they're doing exactly what the Khmer Rouge did and I would expect pretty much the same end result.
 
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Is there really any reason to believe they would abolish industry?

I admit I don't know much about this topic, but I don't think it's easy at all to get another Khmer Rouge. Pol Pot and co were pretty unique as far as I know. They started out as pretty-standard Soviet-aligned Marxists, then switched to Maoism as they re-aligned to China, grew the ethno-nationalist component that they had had from the beggining, began hating everyone, became completely isolated, and then just went batshit crazy.

I doubt 1980s Peru has the same recipe for insanity. If Shining Path got to power, they would most likely just try to emulate Maoist China...

So, we get a very repressive regime, a sluggish economy, tons of people die, probably there's a famine, but please, hold your horses before you begin talking about the Khmer Rouge

Of course, a lot depends on how they get to power. If they have to share power with someone, I could even see them going the way of Nepalese Maoists
 
Wont last long. I've read multiple times that the US was contemplating an armed intervention in case of Shining Path victory. And in the middle of the 1990s these interventions were not as unlikely as today, and they were sanctioned by the UN. So Peru becomes synonym of Somalia or Yugoslavia.

But SP winning is still very unlikely. By 1991 its power was already declining, and it never gained a real foothold outside the Andean south. It's methods were actually alienating most of the urban inhabitants and many peasants who suffered just as much with SP than with the army. The organization itself also proved to be very fragile against a decapitation strike, like the one that resulted in Guzman's arrest with other leaders of the movement.

For SP to have a real shot at winning, the best POD would be to butterfly away Velasco Alvarado's land reform in the 70s, resulting in large masses of dissafected peasants joining the organization. If that happens you can have an actual civil war with SP having greater control of large parts of the countryside and several cities. If such an organization wins, then it will have a more indigenous reinvidication tone, perhaps even with Inca inspirations or drawn to José Carlos Mariategui's earlier brand of Communism instead of the Maoist type that it had in OTL.
 
Is there really any reason to believe they would abolish industry?

I admit I don't know much about this topic, but I don't think it's easy at all to get another Khmer Rouge. Pol Pot and co were pretty unique as far as I know. They started out as pretty-standard Soviet-aligned Marxists, then switched to Maoism as they re-aligned to China, grew the ethno-nationalist component that they had had from the beggining, began hating everyone, became completely isolated, and then just went batshit crazy.

I doubt 1980s Peru has the same recipe for insanity. If Shining Path got to power, they would most likely just try to emulate Maoist China...

So, we get a very repressive regime, a sluggish economy, tons of people die, probably there's a famine, but please, hold your horses before you begin talking about the Khmer Rouge

Of course, a lot depends on how they get to power. If they have to share power with someone, I could even see them going the way of Nepalese Maoists


http://www.bannedthought.net/Nepal/...xplainingSuccessOfNCP-Maoist-Poudyal-2010.pdf

Then again, maybe the authors basically assumed that since the Sendero were radical Maoists that they would basically be just the Khmer Rouge. After all, the Sendero would want they Peru to be self sufficient, and that industry is a necessary part of such a plan.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P7297.html

That is where I got the idea about Sendero abolishing industry in their Peru.
 
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And would they have actually tried to unite all the ethnic Quechuas in a communist "greater Peru"?
 
Is there really any reason to believe they would abolish industry?

I admit I don't know much about this topic, but I don't think it's easy at all to get another Khmer Rouge. Pol Pot and co were pretty unique as far as I know. They started out as pretty-standard Soviet-aligned Marxists, then switched to Maoism as they re-aligned to China, grew the ethno-nationalist component that they had had from the beggining, began hating everyone, became completely isolated, and then just went batshit crazy.

I doubt 1980s Peru has the same recipe for insanity. If Shining Path got to power, they would most likely just try to emulate Maoist China...

So, we get a very repressive regime, a sluggish economy, tons of people die, probably there's a famine, but please, hold your horses before you begin talking about the Khmer Rouge

Of course, a lot depends on how they get to power. If they have to share power with someone, I could even see them going the way of Nepalese Maoists

You know you're on a bad wicket when you defend something by saying at least it won't be as bad as the Khmer Rouge.
 
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