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Paul Samuelson was a american economist that won the nobel prize, the swedish royal academy even said that "he has done more than any other contemporary economist to raise the level of scientific analysis in economic theory"
He was know for extrapolating and using fake data of the soviet economic growth, and even made those two following quotes:
"...As a result, Soviet GNP would exceed that of the United States by as early as 1984 or perhaps by as late as 1997"
"Contrary to what many skeptics had earlier believed, the Soviet economy is proof that... a socialist command economy can function and even thrive. (he said that at the same year the wall fell, 1989)
he even went as far to publish this prevision in 1961 about the soviet economy bypassing the american one
My question is: What was the logic behind his predictions? And why he seemed to fail to notice the collapse of the soviet economy?