What is the latest POD for the Japanese Empire to survive?

Latest POD for Japanese Empire to survive

  • 1904 - no Russo-Japanese War

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I went with 1931 and the invasion of Manchuria. Once Japan went to war on the Asian mainland with aims of large-scale conquest, it had bit off more than it could chew...and also ensured eventual war with China or the USSR and eventual conflict with the US over access to the Chinese market.
 
The only nation capable of beating IJN was the US Navy. Absent of the Japan-USA war, Japan's empire of survivability increases.

With regards to gekokujo, the only person that can stop this is the Emperor both de jure and de facto. the Meiji constitution proves that civilian authorities are separated from military power with the exception of the emperor.

Now if the emperor will act is a bit of a question. If the Emperor really wanted this to happen, there is plausible deniability. In the end the emperor can always order seppuku and disgrace these insubordinates if the Emperor wanted to act something about it. Besides, the Meiji consitution proves the emperor that leeway to do such a thing.

The great thing about gekokujo is that it was rampant during the Sengoku but seems to be almost non existent in the Imperial period upto the 1930s.
 
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