What if, what ifs werent?

Would a PoD as simple as For Want of a Nail wasnt published change anything in our history? (Please, I dont subscribe to the idea that simply turning back the clock resets "randomness" and therefore a man "could twitch the wrong way" and you're conceived as the opposite gender)
 
Yeah, i think its not so much the PoD, but the story that is developed after it, as the usual way a AH story that is published goes. If a writer doesn't make that story, it is lost forever and that does affect our history. The PoD can be recreated.
 
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