What if US not enter WW2?

1) - UK still in the war -> Germany still needs to produce U-boats / Flak in great numbers and maintain a lot of aircraft in the West.

2) - Peace in the West (any kind, not the point) -> more aircraft for Barbarossa, more resources (no DAK - the resources / trucks more important than the divisions), no need to build so many U-Boats = more resources
again. Access to world markets for things like chromium, titanium, tungsten, aluminum, etc....
No need to have so many troops in the occupied west - lots of divisions on Norway in OTL, for example - more force available...
No need to build the Atlantic Wall - lots of resources free again...
No industry bombed..... more equipment build...

So, second case turns in a very different war....
 
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http://www.google.ca/url?sa=t&sourc...w7ilCg&usg=AFQjCNE7iFxwmejdq2usnyZMlp33WaVPFg

U boat losses.

The Battle of the Atlantic turned in Britains favour from Feb. 1941 onwards.


Nope...

the germans sunk less ships in 1941 because hitler send many subs to the northern route (murmansk-convoys) and the mediteran....

the brits did not win the war in 1941 - sure they sunk more subs (10 more as in 1940!), but the germans had a lot more subs in the water....

if you had 10 hunters killing 10 bears each or 100 hunters killing 1 bear, for the bears it is not an improvement.

with all the subs send aways from the main battle, the german couldn´t sink so many ships.

but it is true, the quality of the single subs got down... esp,. after march 1941 with the loss of U47,U99 and U100... that really hurts.
 
The Battle of the Atlantic didn't start turning in Britain's favour until they were destroying U-Boats faster than the Germans could produce them.
 
Before.



I concede to you on these issues, particularly given my lack of knowledge on the more minute details of Soviet production (like the chemicals you cite as being needed for vehicle production). It does blow the 'Soviets on the Rhine' arguement out of the water... so yeah.



The Soviets were having to take men off the factory for fresh troops from the beginning of the war (hell, the mobilization of units for the Winter War caused minor disurptions in Soviet industrial production). OTL, the Soviets could take between another 5-10 million losses before they really started hurting. The fuck-up that will cause too their post-war economy though...



If Britain is still fighting in '41, Stalin would probably 'take his eye off the ball' just as in OTL. If Britain sues for peace, the chances of Stalin believing that Hitler will hit him in '41 goes significantly up, although it isn't gauranteed. IF Stalin does believe, the Soviets will be able too beat the Germans into the ground and all the way over the Rhine, with or without Lend-Lease.

I really doubt that Britain would sue for peace in 1941 so there would be no reason for Stalin to believe that the Germans were about to attack that did not exist historically. But a negotiated peace between Britain and Germany sometime in 1943 strikes me as a distinct possibility.
 
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