What if the Portuguese monarchy is restored in 1951

Thande

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According to the Infallible Wikipedia, Salazar considered restoring the Portuguese monarchy in 1951, when the Portuguese president Óscar Carmona had died. The law exiling the royal family had been repealed a couple of years earlier and the pretender (Duarte Nuno, the Duke of Braganza) had returned to live in the country.

He eventually decided against it, but what if he didn't?

Would the Portuguese monarchy survive the eventual end of the Estado Novo? After all, its Spanish counterpart did. Would this have an effect on the OTL breakup of the Portuguese Empire, perhaps smoothing it into more of a commonwealth structure, leading to an earlier CPLP with teeth? After all, in OTL the Braganza pretenders have been active in supporting the interests of former Portuguese colonies, mainly in East Timor's struggle for independence from Indonesia.

Thoughts?
 
According to the Infallible Wikipedia, Salazar considered restoring the Portuguese monarchy in 1951, when the Portuguese president Óscar Carmona had died. The law exiling the royal family had been repealed a couple of years earlier and the pretender (Duarte Nuno, the Duke of Braganza) had returned to live in the country.

He eventually decided against it, but what if he didn't?

Would the Portuguese monarchy survive the eventual end of the Estado Novo? After all, its Spanish counterpart did. Would this have an effect on the OTL breakup of the Portuguese Empire, perhaps smoothing it into more of a commonwealth structure, leading to an earlier CPLP with teeth? After all, in OTL the Braganza pretenders have been active in supporting the interests of former Portuguese colonies, mainly in East Timor's struggle for independence from Indonesia.

Thoughts?

I'm not sure, but I believe they would fall with the Estado Novo. Duarte Nuno was a conservative, and shared some ideas with Salazar. Probably Portugal would be something more like Fascist Italy: a monarchy controled by a party. When the Estado Novo falls, the king would be considered a symbol of the old regime, and probably a new Republic would be proclaimed.

Of course, it depends on the butterflies, but I doubt Duarte Nuno would have changed anything in the colonial policy. His son Duarte Pio was more liberal in these affairs, but I think it was due to his experience in the colonial wars, that probably would not have happened if he had been the Royal prince.
 
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